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NZD/USD rebounds after slipping below 0.5900, as risk appette improves

  • NZD/USD rises 0.17% despite lingering concerns over China's economic health and the PboC's rate cut.
  • US equities show optimism with NVIDIA's earnings on the horizon, while the Greenback dips by 0.10%.
  • Technicals suggest NZD/USD remains bearish, with potential to retest the YTD low; however, reclaiming the 0.6000 level could shift momentum.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) snapped eight days of losses against the US Dollar (USD), amidst a risk-on impulse, after China’s central bank cut rates on its 1-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) aimed to stimulate its economy. Hence, the NZD/USD is trading at 0.5930, above its opening price by 0.17%.

New Zealand Dollar finds respite as China's central bank moves to stimulate its economy, with eyes set on upcoming key events

US equities are trading in the green as NVIDIA releases its earnings report on Wednesday. Even though China’s economic woes are lingering on traders’ minds, the NZD/USD recovers some ground after dropping to a new year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.5896. US Treasury bond yields climbed while the Greenback retreated 0.10%, as depicted by the US Dollar Index (DXY), at 103.322.

Developments throughout Monday’s Asians session weighed on the Antipodeans after the People’s Bank of China (PboC) cut rates on its 1-year Loan Prime Rate from 3.55% to 3.45%, disappointing analysts. As reported by Bloomberg, it’s said that PboC’s officials and government regulators told leaders to boost loans to support recovery.

Since antipodean currencies are seen as proxies to the Chinese Yuan (CNY), it plunged after the PboC’s headline crossed investors’ screens. However, the lack of meaningful economic data would leave traders adrift to sentiment, and US Dollar dynamics, with traders bracing for US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday.

The New Zealand economic docket would feature Q2’s Retail Sales, which are expected to be mixed, with quarterly figures disappearing, contrary to the year-over-year improvement. On the US front, the agenda will feature Fed speakers, housing data, S&P Global PMIs, Durable Good Orders, unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Gien the fundamental backdrop, the NZD/USD would remain downward biased, and it might test the YTD low of 0.5896. A daily close around the 0.5800 handle would expose the November 10 low of 0.5846, followed by the 0.5800 figure. A dip below would expose the November 3 low of 0.5740. Conversely, as buyers stepped in around 0.5900, if they reclaim 0.6000, the pair would test June’s 8 low turned resistance at 0.6031.

NZD/USD Price Action – Daily chart

NZD/USD Daily chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5928
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.5922
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6076
Daily SMA500.615
Daily SMA1000.6169
Daily SMA2000.6232
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5948
Previous Daily Low0.5908
Previous Weekly High0.5997
Previous Weekly Low0.5903
Previous Monthly High0.6413
Previous Monthly Low0.612
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5923
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5933
Daily Pivot Point S10.5904
Daily Pivot Point S20.5886
Daily Pivot Point S30.5864
Daily Pivot Point R10.5944
Daily Pivot Point R20.5966
Daily Pivot Point R30.5984

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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