|

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Rises to near 0.5850 despite fading bullish bias

  • NZD/USD pair may fall toward the five-month low of 0.5680.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index near 48 signals weakening bullish momentum, not oversold conditions.
  • Key resistance is seen at the medium-term average around 0.5859.

NZD/USD gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 0.5840 during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart signals an emerging bearish bias as the pair remains below the ascending channel.

The NZD/USD pair holds below both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which keeps the near-term bias tilted to the downside.

The NZD/USD pair has recently retreated from the 0.5900 area, and the 14-day Relative Strength Index around 48 suggests fading bullish momentum rather than outright oversold conditions, hinting that sellers still retain a modest structural advantage while upside attempts are likely to be capped by nearby moving average resistance.

On the downside, the NZD/USD pair may navigate the region around the five-month low of 0.5680.

The primary resistance lies at the medium-term average at 0.5859, aligned with the short-term average of 0.5865. A rebound above these averages would lead the NZD/USD pair back to the ascending channel, reviving the bullish bias. The pair may further explore the area around 0.6094, the highest since July 2025, which was reached on January 29, followed by the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 0.6120.

NZD/USD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

New Zealand Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.01%-0.09%-0.67%-0.11%-0.20%-0.19%-0.37%
EUR0.01%-0.04%-0.65%-0.08%-0.16%-0.14%-0.33%
GBP0.09%0.04%-0.58%-0.02%-0.11%-0.09%-0.28%
JPY0.67%0.65%0.58%0.55%0.48%0.44%0.27%
CAD0.11%0.08%0.02%-0.55%-0.09%-0.09%-0.26%
AUD0.20%0.16%0.11%-0.48%0.09%0.02%-0.16%
NZD0.19%0.14%0.09%-0.44%0.09%-0.02%-0.18%
CHF0.37%0.33%0.28%-0.27%0.26%0.16%0.18%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

EUR/USD flatlines above 1.1500, awaits US jobs data

EUR/USD holds steady around 1.1505 in European trading hours on Tuesday. Markets remain cautious ahead of a slew of US jobs data, starting with the JOLTS Job Openings Survey later today. However, the downside appears capped by hot Eurozone inflation in July, bolstering the case for a European Central Bank rate hike at the next meeting.

Gold holds steady above $4,050; hawkish Fed bets favor bearish traders

Gold remains confined in a range below the $4,100 mark through the early European session as traders opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis. Meanwhile, the uncertainty over US-Iran peace talks continues to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven US Dollar.

Aave: Bearish RSI divergence risks a 20% drop despite steady DeFi deposits

Aave (AAVE) extends a mild near-term recovery on Tuesday, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80. Aave protocol’s V3 deployment on Monad blockchain recorded over $500 million in deposits over the last month, reflecting increased user adoption.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.