|

NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bullish momentum adjusts, correction begins following overbought signals

  • The daily chart continues to flash overbought signals despite a slight correction, with the overall uptrend still intact.
  • Despite a minor dip to 96.40, NZD/JPY remains near its multi-year peak.
  • The critical support level for the pair remains firmly at 95.00, marking a pivotal level to ward off losses.

In Wednesday's session, the NZD/JPY pair saw a small correction to 96.40 but remains at its highest level since July 2007 at around 96.70. This adjustment doesn't quite alter the current outlook, merely turning it slightly cautious given the persistent overbought signals, but the overarching bullish trend carries on.

The daily chart's indicators confirm this narrative where the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in a deep overbought condition. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) keeps showing sustained positive momentum with its consistent green bars.

NZD/JPY daily chart

On the hourly chart, there is a visible weakening of strength compared to the daily perspective, and an ongoing edging downward can be observed.

NZD/JPY hourly chart

In a broader context, the NZD/JPY continues to display a strong uptrend, as shown by its position above the 20, 100, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). Despite the slight correction, the pair's short-term gains still overshadow its medium and long-term averages.

As the looming correction gains momentum, any further downward movements should ideally keep the pair above its SMAs. Crucial to the monitoring is the first strong support level observed at 95.00, which the pair could potentially use to cushion any significant losses.

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price96.35
Today Daily Change-0.17
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open96.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA2094.31
Daily SMA5092.61
Daily SMA10091.85
Daily SMA20090.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High96.74
Previous Daily Low96.43
Previous Weekly High96.15
Previous Weekly Low95.08
Previous Monthly High95.42
Previous Monthly Low89.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%96.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%96.55
Daily Pivot Point S196.39
Daily Pivot Point S296.25
Daily Pivot Point S396.08
Daily Pivot Point R196.7
Daily Pivot Point R296.88
Daily Pivot Point R397.01

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces off multi-month low, nears 0.6900

AUD/USD edges higher toward 0.6900 in the Asian session on Wednesday, recovering some of the previous day’s losses to its lowest level since March as the US Dollar stalls the hot US CPI-inspired rally amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, hawkish comments from FOMC members have almost confirmed another December rate hike, which favors USD bulls and should cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains capped below 159.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to build on the previous day’s strong gains to a near one-month top as intervention risk supports the Japanese Yen while hopes of a US-Iran peace deal cap the safe-haven US Dollar. That keeps the pair's upside limited below 159.00, for now.

Gold extends gains beyond $4,050; upside seems capped as Fed hike bets support USD

Gold climbs further beyond $4,050 heading into the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's heavy losses, though the upside seems limited. Tuesday's hot US inflation figures fuel expectations of a more aggressive policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). This helps the US Dollar (USD) preserve Tuesday's strong gains, despite hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, and might keep a lid on any meaningful appreciation for the non-yielding bullion.

Bitcoin at risk of sharp moves as leverage builds in derivatives markets

Bitcoin remains in a capped tone, trading around $73,800 after slipping to a low of $72,727 following the previous day’s hot US inflation figures. Institutional demand continues to weaken, with BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds recording a $95 million outflow on Tuesday, marking the fourth straight day of withdrawals. Traders should be cautious as a K33 Research report highlights that BTC is at risk of sharp moves as leverage builds in derivatives markets.

Hot CPI helps cement December Fed hike as Nvidia slumps
October CPI inflation landed yesterday and beat expectations across the board. Note that we only received the MM figures because of last year’s government shutdown. Headline MM came in at 0.4%, beating the 0.3% forecast, though below September's 0.6%. Core MM also came in at 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate and matching the prior month’s reading.
What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.