|

Japanese Yen: Slight downside bias within tight band against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY has edged higher to around 162.35, with intraday bias tilted modestly to the upside but capped between 162.10 and 162.65. Over 1–3 weeks, the pair is expected to be contained in a narrower 161.30–163.00 range, while the medium-term outlook allows for further gains as long as price holds above the 21-day EMA near 161.00.

Japanese Yen stays under gentle pressure

"24-HOUR VIEW: Yesterday, we noted “a slight increase in downward momentum,” and we indicated that this “is likely to lead to USD trading in a lower range of 161.70/162.30 rather than a sustained decline.” However, USD edged up to 162.54 before closing slightly higher by 0.12% at 162.38. This time around, there is a slight increase in upward momentum, and the bias for USD is tilted to the upside. That said, any advance is likely to be contained within a range of 162.10/162.65."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We have held the same view since last Tuesday (07 Jul, spot at 162.10), when we indicated that “the outlook for USD is mixed,” and it could “trade between the two major levels of 160.60 and 163.00.” While we are not able to derive much from the price action since then, a narrower 161.30/163.00 range is likely sufficient to contain USD for now."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates near 0.7000 as USD stays weak

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during Thursday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day’s recovery gains from a near three-week low as the Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections and Iran diplomacy hopes continue to weigh on the US Dollar. Bulls, however, seem hesitant as focus shifts to Friday’s crucial US NFP report.

USD/JPY drifts lower to 158.25 on hawkish BoJ Minutes, weak USD

USD/JPY trades with a negative bias for the second straight day on Thursday as hawkish BoJ Minutes, showing members agreed to keep raising rates, and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US midterm election results and hopes for Iran diplomacy keep the US Dollar depressed as focus shifts to Friday’s US NFP report.

Gold extends rally as Democrats’ victory weakens US yields

Gold rallies further to near $4,135 in the Asian trade on Thursday, the highest level seen in almost two weeks. The precious metal continues to attract bids as the victory of United States Democrats in both the House and the Senate has weighed heavily on US bond yields and the US Dollar.

XRP and XLM extend recovery as bears lose steam

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery on Thursday as bearish pressure begins to ease for both altcoins. XRP trades above $1.30 after breaking above the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, while XLM holds above $0.168 and approaches resistance at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics and strengthening momentum indicators hint at a potential for further recovery.

US midterms 2026: Investor Q&A on the Democratic sweep
1. Gridlock replaces the stimulus narrative. A Democratic Congress would constrain Trump's ability to pursue additional fiscal expansion and legislative tax measures. But it cannot simply reverse the president's entire economic agenda. Executive powers, existing legislation and presidential vetoes remain important. 2. AI faces a higher hurdle, not an extinction event.
US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.