|

Japanese Yen rebounds on softer US payrolls, intervention risks

  • US job growth slows sharply in June, with only 57K jobs added, well below expectations.
  • The US Dollar weakens after disappointing labor market data, despite the Unemployment Rate falling to 4.2%.
  • The Japanese Yen strengthens sharply as markets remain alert to the risk of intervention by Japanese authorities.

USD/JPY falls 0.92% on Thursday and trades around 161.05 at the time of writing after a much weaker-than-expected US employment report weighs on the US Dollar (USD).

Data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increased by only 57K in June, compared with market expectations of 110K. May's reading was revised lower to 129K from 172K previously, while April's figure was revised down to 148K from 179K, resulting in a combined downward revision of 74K jobs.

The report nevertheless offered more mixed signals. The Unemployment Rate unexpectedly declined to 4.2% from 4.3%, while the Labor Force Participation Rate fell to 61.5% from 61.8%. Meanwhile, annual wage growth, as measured by Average Hourly Earnings, accelerated slightly to 3.5%, in line with market expectations.

Markets are nevertheless focusing on the weak headline payroll figures, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could adopt a less hawkish monetary policy throughout the year. This weighs on the US Dollar, contributing to USD/JPY's decline.

The move is also fueled by speculation over a possible intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market. According to Reuters, Japan's Ministry of Finance (MoF) declined to comment on the recent surge in the Japanese Yen (JPY), while traders remain alert to any action aimed at supporting the Japanese currency. In addition, expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could raise interest rates again before the end of the year continue to underpin the Japanese Yen.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.55%-0.67%-0.97%-0.23%-0.52%-0.53%-0.84%
EUR0.55%-0.12%-0.41%0.34%0.03%0.05%-0.29%
GBP0.67%0.12%-0.30%0.41%0.15%0.18%-0.17%
JPY0.97%0.41%0.30%0.72%0.45%0.43%0.11%
CAD0.23%-0.34%-0.41%-0.72%-0.28%-0.26%-0.64%
AUD0.52%-0.03%-0.15%-0.45%0.28%0.03%-0.33%
NZD0.53%-0.05%-0.18%-0.43%0.26%-0.03%-0.35%
CHF0.84%0.29%0.17%-0.11%0.64%0.33%0.35%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.