|

Japanese Yen: Mixed range trade outlook against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY has seen a slight increase in downward momentum, pointing to a lower intraday range around 161.70–162.30. Over the next one to three weeks, they maintain a mixed outlook, expecting the pair to trade between 160.60 and 163.00. On a one to three month horizon, they see scope for further gains as long as USD/JPY stays above the 21-day EMA near 161.00.

Dollar Yen seen holding broad range

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD fluctuated between 161.62 and 162.47 on Wednesday, closing modestly lower by 0.12% at 162.23. Yesterday, we stated that “the price action provides no fresh clues, USD could trade in a range between 161.75 and 162.50.” USD then traded within a narrower range than expected (161.87/162.42), closing largely unchanged at 162.18 (-0.03%). There has been a slight increase in downward momentum, but this is likely to lead to USD trading in a lower range of 161.70/162.30 rather than a sustained decline"

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We have the same view since last Tuesday (07 Jul, spot at 162.10), when we indicated that “the outlook for USD is mixed,” and it could “trade between the two major levels of 160.60 and 163.00.” Since then, USD traded within the range, and we continue to hold the same view for now."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.