|

Japanese Yen: Intervention risks shape Dollar pullback – MUFG

MUFG’s Teppei Ino reviews recent USD/JPY price action, noting the pair opened near 161.78 and briefly tested the 162.84 area before reversing. The report highlights Dollar weakness after comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and a softer US employment report. Despite broad Dollar selling against G10 currencies, the Yen remained relatively weak within this environment.

Dollar slide and intervention concerns

"The USD/JPY opened the week at 161.78. The pair edged higher from the start of the week, reaching the 162 range around the Tokyo fixing on 30 June."

"The pace then picked up somewhat, and the pair rose to this week's high of 162.84 on 1 July. However, the dollar turned lower during US trading hours that day after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation risks had receded, pushing the USD/JPY below 162.50."

"The topside remained heavy on 2 July amid lingering concerns about intervention by the Japanese authorities, and the pair fell sharply around the European open."

"The decline accelerated after the USD/JPY broke below 162, with the pair then slipping below 161. The USD/JPY temporarily rebounded to around 161.50, but broad dollar weakness after the US employment report came in below market expectations pushed it down further to a low of 160.64."

"The pair quickly recovered to around 161, and at the time of writing on 3 July was edging higher in the low 161 range."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 with bullish momentum losing steam

The British Pound ticks lower against the US Dollar Monday, attempting to close a seven-day rally, as tensions rise again in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the critical points in the peace process between Washington and Tehran. The GBP/USD pair trades near 1.3340 at the time of writing, down from 1.3387 highs last week, although it maintains a near-term bullish trend intact.

EUR/USD drops toward 1.1400 as US Dollar rebounds

EUR/USD pair trades marginally lower, heading toward 1.1400 in the European session on Monday. The pair faces slight selling pressure as the US Dollar gains ground after a negative weekly close. Middle East concerns and the USD/JPY rally support the Greenback.

Gold sticks to modest losses amid Hormuz risks; lacks bearish conviction

Gold shows some resilience below the $4,150 level, and for now seems to have stalled its intraday retracement slide from a two-week high, levels just above the $4,200 mark, touched earlier this Monday. The commodity, however, retains its negative bias heading into the European session, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak.

Dogecoin recovery stalls amid early signs of whale support

Dogecoin (DOGE) price nears $0.0770, maintaining a broadly consolidative tone for the last three days after Friday’s 4% rebound. The first-ever meme coin is losing retail interest as DOGE derivatives volume drops, while on-chain data shows early signs that large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, are expanding their holdings.

Week ahead – ISM services PMI and Fed Minutes to shake Fed hike bets
The US dollar is finishing the week on the back foot against most of its major counterparts this week, losing the most ground against the kiwi, the franc and the pound. Despite the pullback, investors remained adamant in their view that the Fed may have to press the rate hike button before the turn of the year.
Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.