|

Indonesian Rupiah receives support ahead of BI policy decision

  • USD/IDR falls as the Indonesian Rupiah finds support ahead of Thursday's Bank Indonesia policy decision.
  • Traders expect the BI to hike interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.75%.
  • US Dollar declines amid easing safe-haven demand following a preliminary US-Iran MoU to end the war.

USD/IDR inches lower after opening at a bullish gap, remaining in the positive territory and trading around 17,880 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair breaks lower as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) finds support ahead of Bank Indonesia’s (BI) policy meeting on Thursday.

Traders are actively pricing in the possibility of a 25-basis-point interest rate hike to 5.75%, building on momentum from last week when BI delivered a surprise 25-basis-point increase. That unexpected move was aimed squarely at defending the Rupiah and taming accelerating inflationary pressures, as the country's annual inflation rate jumped to 3.08% in May from 2.42% in April, closing in on the upper limit of the central bank's 1.5% to 3.5% target range.

The USD/IDR pair holds losses as the US Dollar (USD) slips on easing safe-haven demand following the BBC report late Wednesday, indicating that the White House confirmed that US President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a preliminary memorandum of understanding designed to end the US-Israel war on Iran. This decisive executive action follows the electronic signing of the initial framework by US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf earlier in the week.

However, the US Dollar could rebound on rising odds of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed) later this year. The Fed’s June Summary of Economic Projections showed half of FOMC members expect at least one rate hike this year. Despite economic disruptions linked to the conflict in Iran, resilient labor market data and persistent underlying inflation measures continue to drive tightening pressures.

US Dollar Price Last 7 Days

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies last 7 days. US Dollar was the weakest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDIDR
USD0.16%0.42%0.03%1.14%-0.44%0.05%0.00%
EUR-0.16%0.27%-0.11%0.97%-0.71%-0.06%-2.04%
GBP-0.42%-0.27%-0.38%0.71%-0.98%-0.37%0.00%
JPY-0.03%0.11%0.38%1.11%-0.55%0.16%0.03%
CAD-1.14%-0.97%-0.71%-1.11%-1.63%-0.93%-1.27%
AUD0.44%0.71%0.98%0.55%1.63%0.63%1.27%
NZD-0.05%0.06%0.37%-0.16%0.93%-0.63%-1.03%
IDR0.00%2.04%0.00%-0.03%1.27%-1.27%1.03%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.