Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD slumps to fresh weekly lows and pierces the 200-DMA around $1835


  • Gold spot drops in the day and is losing 0.89%.
  • An upbeat market mood weighed on the non-yielding metal, despite that US Treasury yields finished the session with losses.
  • Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD): A daily close below the 200-DMA would send Gold Price tumbling towards $1800.

Gold spot (XAU/USD) continues tumbling in the day and briefly pierced the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $1835.31 a troy ounce, amidst an upbeat market mood as illustrated by US equities recording gains between 0.20% and 1.30%. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $1837.94.

The Fed tightening risks that could spur a recession, China’s Covid-19 zero-tolerance restrictions, which halted factory production, triggered a slowing in exports, and the Ukraine-Russia conflict, are sentiment factors that, even though traders ignored in the session, they need to be aware of them.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback’s value against a basket of its rivals, is rallying 0.68%, up at 103.911 as the New York session winds down. The US 10-year Treasury yield approaches the 3% threshold, recovering some ground after reaching a daily low at 2.942%.

Gold Price Forecast (XAU/USD): Technical outlook

In what appears to be a technical move, XAU/USD moved from around $1850 a troy ounce, below the S1 daily pivot point at $1841.73, and pierced the 200-DMA briefly as the New York session finished. It is worth noting that a daily close below the previously mentioned 200-DMA would exacerbate a fall toward $1800.

If that scenario plays out, the XAU/USD first support would be a four-year-old upslope trendline near the $1815-25 region. Once cleared, the XAU/USD’s bears’ next target would be $1800, followed by the YTD low at $1780.18.

Key Technical Levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1837.94
Today Daily Change -14.19
Today Daily Change % -0.77
Today daily open 1854.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1917.48
Daily SMA50 1934.65
Daily SMA100 1882.27
Daily SMA200 1835.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1885.82
Previous Daily Low 1851.8
Previous Weekly High 1909.83
Previous Weekly Low 1850.44
Previous Monthly High 1998.43
Previous Monthly Low 1872.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1864.8
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1872.82
Daily Pivot Point S1 1842.06
Daily Pivot Point S2 1829.92
Daily Pivot Point S3 1808.04
Daily Pivot Point R1 1876.08
Daily Pivot Point R2 1897.96
Daily Pivot Point R3 1910.1

 

 

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