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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD gains momentum near $2,020, FOMC Minutes eyed

  • Gold price attracts some buyers around $2,020 in Tuesday’s early European session. 
  • Higher-than-expected US inflation figures fuelled speculation of a delay in the Fed’s move towards monetary policy easing. 
  • The rising Middle East geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties lift the yellow metal. 
  • The FOMC Meeting Minutes will be the highlight of this week. 

Gold price gains momentum for the fourth straight day during the early European session on Tuesday. The yellow metal trades in positive territory despite the rebound of the US Dollar (USD) and higher bond yields. Trading activity was low on Monday as markets closed in the US. However, investors will take more cues from the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday about the outlook for US interest rates. At press time, the gold price is trading at $2,020, adding 0.09% on the day. 

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD relative to a basket of global currencies, posts modest gains near 104.35. The US Treasury yields edge higher, with the 10-year yield standing at 4.30%. 

Given the stronger-than-expected recent US data, investors lower their bets on the rate cut expectations, which provide some support for the US Dollar (USD). According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the markets have priced in the first 25 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Fed in the June 2024 meeting.

On the other hand, the global central banks are likely to diversify foreign reserves and accumulate gold to hedge in their portfolios amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and economic uncertainties. This, in turn, could boost the demand for gold, a traditional safe-haven asset.

The FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released on Wednesday, and it might provide further insights into why Fed officials are not confident enough to begin easing policy in Q1 2024. On Thursday, the preliminary US S&P Global PMI for February will be due. These events could give a clear direction to the gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2019.54
Today Daily Change1.45
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open2018.09
 
Trends
Daily SMA202023.38
Daily SMA502032.25
Daily SMA1001997.84
Daily SMA2001965.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2023.05
Previous Daily Low2011
Previous Weekly High2033.39
Previous Weekly Low1984.26
Previous Monthly High2079.01
Previous Monthly Low2001.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2018.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2015.6
Daily Pivot Point S12011.71
Daily Pivot Point S22005.33
Daily Pivot Point S31999.66
Daily Pivot Point R12023.76
Daily Pivot Point R22029.43
Daily Pivot Point R32035.81

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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