|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD needs to crack $1722 for additional downside, Powell eyed

  • Gold remains pressured as Turkish upheaval keeps the DXY underpinned.
  • Falling Treasury yields slow the decline in XAU/USD ahead of Powell.
  • XAU bears tease rising wedge breakdown on the 4H chart.

Gold (XAU/USD) has stalled its rebound and turns south once again, undermined by broad-based US dollar strength, as markets seek safety in the greenback amid fears of overheating and Turkey’s abrupt sacking of the central bank Chief.

Although the XAU buyers remain hopeful amid falling US Treasury yields, which make the non-yielding gold relatively attractive. The benchmark US 10-year rates shed 3.30% so far, back under the 1.70% level.  

Gold’s fate hinges on the Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech due later in the session ahead. However, the bright metal risks further falls if the risk-aversion deepens in European trading and refuels the haven demand for the buck.

From a near-term technical perspective, gold is on the verge of confirming a rising wedge breakdown if the price closes the four-hour candlestick below the $1737 support.

Gold Price Chart: Four-hour

The bears will then test the bullish 50-simple moving average (SMA) at $1730, below which the 100-SMA at $1722 could be challenged.

Acceptance below the latter is needed to extend the downside towards the previous month low of $1717.  

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) points south while trading currently at 48.99, suggesting that the spot is poised for more losses.

On the flip side, if the 100-SMA support holds, a move back towards the pattern support now resistance at $1737 would not be ruled.

Further up, the daily high of $1747 could be next on the buyers’ radar, as they eye a sustained break above the $1750 psychological level.

Gold: Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1732.32
Today Daily Change-13.18
Today Daily Change %-0.76
Today daily open1745.5
 
Trends
Daily SMA201736.99
Daily SMA501793.99
Daily SMA1001831.46
Daily SMA2001860.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1746.86
Previous Daily Low1728.56
Previous Weekly High1755.59
Previous Weekly Low1719.3
Previous Monthly High1871.9
Previous Monthly Low1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1739.87
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1735.55
Daily Pivot Point S11733.75
Daily Pivot Point S21722.01
Daily Pivot Point S31715.45
Daily Pivot Point R11752.05
Daily Pivot Point R21758.61
Daily Pivot Point R31770.35

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold languishes below $4,200 amid high US yields

Gold trims some losses on Monday, but remains trapped within previous ranges, with upside attempts limited below $4,200 and with two-month lows of $4,110 at a short distance. The recent pullback on the US Dollar Index has provided some support for precious metals although the high US Treasury yields are keeping a floor on US Dollar dips so far.

Pi Network risks a steeper decline as bearish momentum builds

Pi Network extends losses below $0.090 maintaining a steady decline for the fifth consecutive day. The retail demand remains firm, with the notional value of active perpeutals holding above $10 million. The technical outlook for PI remains bearish as bearish momentum mounts.

ISM Services PMI expected to show robust US economy in September

The US ISM Services PMI is expected to improve marginally in September. The US services sector is expected to remain well into expansionary territory. Bets of further Fed tightening appear to have lost traction in the last few days.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.