|

Gold once again drops below 200-DMA after ISM PMI data

Although the XAU/USD pair was able to make a modest recovery to $1228 in the early NA session, it faced another selling pressure after the better-than-expected ISM PMI data. At the moment, the pair is trading at $1224, losing 1.4%, or $17, on the day.

Earlier in the day, the precious metal was sold aggressively against currencies as the global equity indexes had a strong to the week. Hurt by the rising risk appetite, the demand for the safe-haven gold remained weak. As of writing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is gaining 0.83% while the S&P 500 is up 0.55%.

On the other hand, following Friday's recovery, the US Dollar Index continued its march north on Monday. Although the Markit Manufacturing PMI data came in below expectations from the U.S., the ISM Manufacturing PMI data painted a more optimistic picture. Timothy R. Fiore, CPSM, C.P.M., Chair of the Institute for Supply Management said: "Comments from the panel generally reflect expanding business conditions; with new orders, production, employment, backlog, and exports all growing in June compared to May and with supplier deliveries and inventories struggling to keep up with the production pace."

The US Dollar Index, which started the day at 95.38, is now at 95.90, up 0.52% on the day. There are no more data left in the economic calendar in the remainder of the session and we may see the trading volume thin out as investors get ready for tomorrow's Independence Day holiday.

Technical outlook

A daily close below the 200-DMA could allow the pair to drop further. However, the RSI on the daily graph already reached the oversold region below the 30 mark and we may see a short-term technical correction before the next leg down. $1214 (May 9 low) could be seen as the first support ahead of $1200 (psychological level) and $1195 (Mar. 10 low). On the upside, resistances align at $1227 (200-DMA), $1242 (daily high) and $1251 (20-DMA). 

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6950 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD consolidates in the Asian session on Thursday, trading just above 0.6950 as traders assess developments in the Middle East crisis. The Pentagon reportedly ordered readiness for potential strikes against Iran. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play, which, along with hawkish FOMC Minutes and elevated US bond yields, will likely keep the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the pair.

USD/JPY slips below 158.00 as USD retreats

USD/JPY returns to the red below 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar eases from near an 18-month high on profit taking, ignoring Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes and the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, adding to the pair's pullback.

Gold bulls remain on the sidelines as hawkish Fed and Middle East jitters underpin USD

Gold trims its intraday gains and trades near $4,125 during the early European session on Thursday, up around 0.35% for the day. A combination of factors helps the US Dollar retain a bullish undertone, which keeps a lid on the precious metal's bounce from a two-month low, touched the previous day.

Ripple and Stellar test key support amid rising downside risks
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) remain under pressure and extend their corrections on Thursday as weakening derivatives metrics and broader macroeconomic headwinds weigh on sentiment. XRP and XLM approach a key support zone after three consecutive days of losses so far this week.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.