Gold: CTAs are max long – TDS

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Earth to macro funds. There is no magical reason why Fed cuts have to led to higher Gold prices, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

Gap risk is elevated

“Ultimately, Gold markets are a function of buyers and sellers, and our suite of advanced positioning analytics is screaming for caution on several fronts. Macro fund positioning is now at its highest levels on record, slightly surpassing levels printed in the weeks that followed the Brexit referendum. There are nearly no directional money manager shorts remaining.”

“Shanghai traders are still holding onto their record length, but Chinese investors now have several alternatives at their fingertips and currency devaluation fears have abated. Asian physical traders are on a buyer's strike. Central bank buying activity has ground down to its lowest levels in the last five years. Consensus is unanimously bullish.”

“Recent price action has been a function of limited selling activity, which potentially points to a liquidity vacuum given the challenge to Western positions from US rates markets and the broad dollar.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD treads water around 1.3360

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3360 zone on Wednesday. That said, Cable’s upside remains capped as markets stay cautious following the flare-up of tensions in the Middle East.

EUR/USD flirts with 1.1400; geopolitical landscape deteriorates

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling pressure, slipping toward the 1.1400 region on Wednesday. The pair’s second daily pullback in a row follows extra strengthening of the US Dollar on renewed safe-haven demand after President Trump said the MOU with Iran to end the conflict was "over".

Gold loses impulse; focus shifts back to $4,000

Gold turns lower on Wednesday and trades deep in negative territory, opening the door to another potential visit to the key $4,000 yardstick per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s decline follows a modest uptick in the US Dollar as tensions in the Middle East have resurfaced.

Pi Network crashes to a record low amid broader market stress

Pi Network (PI) price edges toward $0.1000 extending losses for the fifth straight day. Retail sentiment remains bearish as Open Interest and the funding rate decline. The technical outlook for PI is bearish as selling pressure mounts, despite oversold conditions.

Fed Minutes to shed light on Warsh's first meeting as Chair

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the Minutes of the June 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The Minutes should shed more light on the Fed’s hawkish hold delivered at Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed Chair. Even so, doubts remain about how much the minutes will reveal, given Warsh's refusal to provide forward guidance.

Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.