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GBP/USD sticks to modest gains around 1.2200 mark, just below multi-week high

  • GBP/USD climbs to its highest level since February 14, albeit lacks follow-through buying.
  • The risk-off environment benefits the safe-haven USD and acts as a headwind for the pair.
  • Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of the Fed and the BoE this week.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday positive move and trims a part of the early gains to the highest level since February 14 touched this Monday. The pair trades just below the 1.2200 mark through the first half of the European session and remains at the mercy of the US Dollar (USD) price dynamics.

The prevalent risk-off mood - as depicted by a weaker tone around the equity markets - drives some haven flows towards the Greenback and acts as a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. Despite the recent emergency liquidity measures and multi-billion-dollar lifelines for troubled US and European banks, market participants remain concerned about the contagion risk and the possibility of a full-blown global banking crisis. This, in turn, continues to weigh on investors' sentiment and benefits traditional safe-haven assets, including the USD.

That said, the ongoing slump in the US Treasury bond yields, amid diminishing odds for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed, keeps a lid on any further gains for the USD and continues to lend support to the GBP/USD pair. Investors now seem convinced that the US central bank will soften its hawkish rhetoric, especially after the recent collapse of two mid-size US banks - Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. This, along with the anti-risk flow, leads to a further steep decline in the US Treasury bond yields and might cap the USD.

Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive bets and might prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of this week's key central bank event risks. The Fed is scheduled to announce its decision at the end of a two-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday and is widely expected to deliver a smaller 25 bps rate hike amid the worsening economic conditions. This will be followed by the Bank of England (BoE) meeting on Thursday, which should provide some meaningful impetus to the GBP/USD pair and help determine the next leg of a directional move.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2194
Today Daily Change0.0019
Today Daily Change %0.16
Today daily open1.2175
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2029
Daily SMA501.2141
Daily SMA1001.2049
Daily SMA2001.1892
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2201
Previous Daily Low1.21
Previous Weekly High1.2204
Previous Weekly Low1.201
Previous Monthly High1.2402
Previous Monthly Low1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2162
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2138
Daily Pivot Point S11.2116
Daily Pivot Point S21.2058
Daily Pivot Point S31.2015
Daily Pivot Point R11.2217
Daily Pivot Point R21.2259
Daily Pivot Point R31.2318

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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