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GBP/USD rises on strong UK and US PMIs, ahead of US GDP report

  • GBP/USD advances 0.46%, buoyed by robust UK PMI figures and stagnant US Treasury yields, supporting Sterling's upward movement.
  • UK's Manufacturing and Services PMIs outperform expectations, driving the Composite PMI to a 7-month high, signaling sustained economic growth.
  • Despite a rise in US business activity and Treasury yields, the Dollar's strength wanes.

The GBP/USD climbed during the mid-North American session on Wednesday after economic data suggested the UK’s economy remains solid after a release of strong PMI figures. That and soft US Dollar, which are the reasons supporting Sterling’s advance. At the time of writing, the major trades at 1.2726 gaining 0.36%.

Sterling gains as UK economic activity surges, eyes on upcoming US data

UK Flash PMIs for January revealed by S&P Global showed that economic activity gathered steam, with Manufacturing PMI rising from 46.2 to 47.3 while the Services index jumped from 53.4 to 53.8. Consequently, the S&P Global Composite PMI rose from 52.1 to 52.5 hitting a 7-month high. Comments by Chris Williamson, Chief Economist of S&P Global, said that business activity “accelerated for a third straight month.”

Across the pond, the Greenback gained some traction and dragged the GBP/USD from its daily high of 1.2774 to current exchange rates, as the economy gains momentum, revealed the latest S&P Global PMIs. January figures. The manufacturing index exited from recessionary territory, clocking 50.3 above forecasts and last month’s 47.9 reading, while the services sector advanced from 51.4 to 52.9. Therefore, the Composite PMI ascended from 50.9 to 52.3.

In the meantime, traders seem convinced the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut rates by more than 150 basis points, as shown by the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) data. Nevertheless, US data from the last two weeks depicts the US economy remains robust and might dissuade Fed officials from relaxing monetary conditions.

In the meantime, US Treasury bond yields are rising sharply in the belly and long end of the yield curve. The 10-year benchmark note rate is up four basis points at 4.17%. Despite that, the US Dollar remains on the defensive, according to the DXY – US Dollar Index–, down 0.33% at 103.19.

Ahead of the week, the UK economic calendar is light, though the US docket would feature GDP and the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE).

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the GBP(SD remains upward biased but must reclaim the next cycle high hit on January 12 at 1.2785 before challenging the 1.2800 mark. Further gains are seen above December’s 28 swing high of 1.2821, followed by last July’s 27 high at 1.2995. On the flip side, if sellers keep the spot price below 1.2750, that could pave the way for a drop to first support at 1.2700. Up next would be the confluence of the 50-day moving average (DMA) and January’s 23 low of 1.2644/49m ahead of the 200-DMA at 1.2551.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2728
Today Daily Change0.0042
Today Daily Change %0.33
Today daily open1.2686
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2712
Daily SMA501.265
Daily SMA1001.2455
Daily SMA2001.2554
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2748
Previous Daily Low1.2649
Previous Weekly High1.2766
Previous Weekly Low1.2597
Previous Monthly High1.2828
Previous Monthly Low1.2501
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2687
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.271
Daily Pivot Point S11.2641
Daily Pivot Point S21.2596
Daily Pivot Point S31.2543
Daily Pivot Point R11.2739
Daily Pivot Point R21.2792
Daily Pivot Point R31.2837

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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