|

GBP/USD: Range trading expectations – UOB

UOB’s strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note GBP/USD failed to extend gains after touching 1.3576, instead dipping to 1.3464 before closing near 1.3520. They see no strong momentum either way and expects intraday trade between 1.3480 and 1.3545, while the broader 1–3 week bias keeps the pair in a 1.3440–1.3580 range.

Pound-Dollar stuck in band

"24-HOUR VIEW: GBP rose to 1.3576 two days ago and then quickly retreated. Yesterday, we noted that “there has been no significant increase in upward momentum, and GBP is unlikely to rise much further.” We expected GBP to “trade between 1.3500 and 1.3580.” We were incorrect as GBP dropped briefly to 1.3464 and then rebounded to close slightly lower at 1.3519 (-0.10%). There is no increase in downward momentum with the brief decline, and the current price movements appear to be part of a range-trading phase. Today, we expect GBP to trade between 1.3480 and 1.3545."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: In our most recent narrative was from two days ago (27 Apr, spot at 1.3515), we highlighted that the recent price action “suggests that GBP remains in a range-trading phase, most likely between 1.3440 and 1.3580.” We continue to hold the same view for now."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

EUR/USD trims losses, back above 1.1500

EUR/USD picks up some pace and bouces off earlier lows, reclaiming the 1.1500 threshold and beyond at the end of the week. The pair’s modest pullback follows a persistent risk-averse market mood and renewed buying interest for the US Dollar.

Gold: The $4,000 mark holds the downside for now

Gold faces renewed selling pressure, falling sharply toweard the $4,000 mark per troy ounce as the US Dollar regains momentum. Escalating US-Iran tensions are keeping inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes alive, weighing further on the yellow metal.

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Warsh needs to restore his reputation
We were glad to see our deeply negative reaction to the Warsh press conference was not some personal peculiarity. Just about everybody in the financial press felt the same way. The consensus is building it’s not the Fed in the dog-house but only Warsh. Today the WSJ changed it tune and blasted Warsh—"the honeymoon is already over..”
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.