|

GBP/USD: Bears are set to test 1.3145 – UOB Group

The Pound Sterling (GBP) could weaken but does not appear to have enough momentum to break the strong support at 1.3145. In the longer run, rapid slowdown in momentum suggests the likelihood of GBP rising to 1.3320 has diminished, UOB Group analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

GBP may test 1.3145 near term

24-HOUR VIEW: “We did not anticipate GBP to tumble yesterday, as it fell by 0.53% (1.3191). There has been an increase in momentum, but it does not appear to be enough for GBP to break the strong support at 1.3145 (there is another support at 1.3165). Resistance is at 1.3220; a breach of 1.3245 would indicate that GBP is not weakening further.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After GBP soared last Friday, we indicated on Monday (26 Aug, spot at 1.3215) that ‘the sharp and rapid rise is coupled with strong momentum.’ We expected GBP to continue to rise and indicated that ‘the next level to monitor is 1.3320.’ The sharp drop of 0.53% (1.3191) yesterday was surprising. While our ‘strong support’ level at 1.3145 has not been breached yet, the rapid slowdown in momentum suggests the likelihood of GBP rising to 1.3320 has diminished. GBP must break and remain above 1.3250 in the next 1 to 2 days, or a breach of the ‘strong support’ level would not be surprising.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD trades near May 14 highs, above 0.7200 ahead of China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie ahead of China's trade balance data.

USD/JPY sinks to mid-153.00s, February 18 lows as BoJ rate hike bets boost JPY

USD/JPY drops to its lowest level since February 18, near mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday, as Japan's upbeat wage growth data cements bets of a BoJ rate hike next week and continues to boost the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, US Dollar selling remains unabated despite hawkish Fed expectations and rising geopolitical tensions, lending additional support to the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,400 as USD weakness counters Fed hike bets

Gold trades with a positive bias above $4,400 during the Asian session on Tuesday and, for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak as a rallying Japanese Yen keeps the US Dollar depressed. However, hawkish Fed bets, along with rising US-Iran tensions, could support the USD and cap the non-yielding bullion as traders await US inflation figures later this week.

Bitcoin whale profits hit record $9.07B, long-term holders increase on-chain activity
Bitcoin’s (BTC) short-term holder (STH) whales have reached a record level of unrealized profit, raising concerns that increased profit-taking could put pressure on the market during its current consolidation phase.
Strong US jobs, Middle East tensions and key inflation data ahead
Good morning all, hope you enjoyed your weekend. Markets are starting the week after Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which increased expectations that the Fed could raise rates at its September meeting. However, US markets are closed today for the Labor Day holiday, so liquidity should be lower and we may see slower price action.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.