|

GBP/JPY stabilizes below 213.00 after suspected JPY intervention-led intraday volatility

  • GBP/JPY attracts heavy intraday selling on Monday amid suspected Yen intervention.
  • Economic concerns stemming from Middle East tensions cap the upside for the JPY.
  • The BoE’s hawkish outlook lends support to the GBP and also limits losses for the cross.

The GBP/JPY cross seems to have stabilized following good two-way price swings earlier this Monday and trades just below the 213.00 mark during the first half of the European session.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) gets a strong boost at the start of a new week amid speculations that authorities again intervened in the FX market to prop up the weak domestic currency. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor behind the GBP/JPY pair's intraday decline of nearly 200 pips from levels just above mid-216.00s. However, economic concerns stemming from the Middle East crisis and the continued disruption of energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz hold back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump announced a new initiative to guide ships stranded in the Gulf under a program called "Project Freedom". The immediate market reaction, however, remains muted as top Iranian lawmaker Ebrahim Azizi said that any US interference in the strategic waterway will be considered a violation of the ceasefire. This, along with the lack of progress in US-Iran peace talks, keeps geopolitical risks in play and remains supportive of elevated Crude Oil prices, capping gains for the JPY.

The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, draws support from the Bank of England's (BoE) hawkish outlook, suggesting that rate hikes could be appropriate if inflation remains persistent. This turns out to be another factor that contributes to limiting the downside for the GBP/JPY cross. From a technical perspective, the intraday fall stalled near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), further warranting caution before positioning for an extension of last week's sharp pullback from the highest level since January 2008.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.01%0.11%-0.08%0.10%0.08%-0.01%0.13%
EUR0.00%0.08%-0.07%0.10%0.10%-0.00%0.12%
GBP-0.11%-0.08%-0.17%0.01%0.02%-0.09%0.06%
JPY0.08%0.07%0.17%0.14%0.10%0.01%0.14%
CAD-0.10%-0.10%-0.01%-0.14%-0.04%-0.14%0.03%
AUD-0.08%-0.10%-0.02%-0.10%0.04%-0.13%0.04%
NZD0.00%0.00%0.09%-0.01%0.14%0.13%0.15%
CHF-0.13%-0.12%-0.06%-0.14%-0.03%-0.04%-0.15%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD weakens to two-week lows near 0.6960

AUD/USD clinches its second consecutive daily pullback as market participants continue to assess the RBA’s rate hike earlier in the day. Indeed, the pair slipped back toward the 0.6960 zone, or multi-day troughs, following the less-hawkish-than-expected message from the RBA after it hiked the OCR by 25 bps, as widely anticipated.

USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold struggles near $3,900 as traders assess Middle East developments,US election risks

Gold (XAU/USD) loses momentum on Tuesday as Oil prices rebound after the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported a US strike on Iran’s Qeshm Island. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,909, down 0.93% on the day.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP under pressure as investors pull capital

Bitcoin trades downward at $76,566 on Tuesday, testing six-week lows. Ethereum, like Bitcoin, trades under pressure as it consolidates within a narrow support range. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers marginally above $1.25.

US Dollar Index edges up within range with midterm elections front and centre

The US Dollar Index is picking up from session lows but remains within previous ranges, below 102.00. The Greenback is drawing support from hostilities in Iran and higher Oil prices, but US political uncertainty is capping gains.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.