|

GBP/JPY Price Forecasts: Pound nears 217.00 with the 217.24 all-time high eyed

  • GBP/JPY resumes its broader bullish trend, with the all-time high at 217.22 coming closer.
  • BoJ member Asada's dovish comments cast doubt about the bank's monetary tightening plans.
  • The pair seems in a 5-wave bullish cycle that might complete at the 218.00 area.

The British Pound (GBP) has resumed its broader uptrend against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Wednesday, with price action drawing closer to the 217.00 level and the all-time high of 217.22, on the bulls’ focus. Some dovish comments by a Bank of Japan (BoJ) official have cast doubt about the BoJ’s monetary tightening plans and added pressure on an already weak Yen.

Earlier on Wednesday, the Japanese central bank’s committee member Toichiro Asada, the lone vote opposing June’s interest rate hike, affirmed that he needs to see evidence of demand-driven inflation to support further monetary tightening. 

Asada is the latest appointment to the bank's government board, and has been hand-picked by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who has repeatedly voiced her preference for low interest rates to promote economic growth. The BoJ official assured that he is “not always opposed” to rate hikes, but these comments are seen as a token of political pressure on the central bank that might curb plans to normalize monetary policy.

Technical Analysis: The Pound might reach fresh highs around 218.00

Chart Analysis GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY trades at 216.89 with a bullish near-term bias as dips have been contained well above previous highs in the 216.00 area. The four-hour chart shows the Relative Strength Index (14) around 66.72, highlighting strong momentum, although the neutral Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) casts a shadow over the strength of the current rally.

Bulls are testing the 217.00 level, ahead of the mentioned high at 217.22. Above here, the pair would enter uncharted territory. A wider picture, however, suggests t that the pair might be in the fifth wave of an Elliot Wave bullish cycle, with the 127.2% retracement of last week's reversal in the 218.00 area, as a plausible target.

Supports are at Tuesday's low of 216.41 and the July 2 highs at the 216.00 area. Further down, the July 2 and 3 lows between 214.70 and 214.80 would come into focus.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.00%0.06%0.18%-0.24%0.07%-0.49%-0.07%
EUR-0.00%0.05%0.20%-0.25%0.07%-0.49%-0.07%
GBP-0.06%-0.05%0.13%-0.30%0.00%-0.54%-0.15%
JPY-0.18%-0.20%-0.13%-0.43%-0.10%-0.68%-0.27%
CAD0.24%0.25%0.30%0.43%0.33%-0.25%0.16%
AUD-0.07%-0.07%-0.01%0.10%-0.33%-0.56%-0.18%
NZD0.49%0.49%0.54%0.68%0.25%0.56%0.39%
CHF0.07%0.07%0.15%0.27%-0.16%0.18%-0.39%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3450; Fed Minutes in focus

GBP/USD struggles to find its footing and edges lower in the European session, pressured by the renewed USD strength. US President Donald Trump said on the MoU signed with Iran to end the conflict was "over", causing safe-haven flows to dominate the action in financial markets and boosting. Later in the American session, the Fed will publish the minutes of the June policy meeting.

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1400 as USD gathers strength on Trump comments

EUR/USD comes under bearish pressure in the European session and declines toward 1.1400. US President Trump said the MoU signed with Iran to end the conflict was "over" and added that the didn't want to engage with Tehran anymore, triggering a flight-to-safety and boosting the USD.

Gold drops below $4,100 as Middle East tensions escalate

Gold turns south in the European session on Wednesday and trades deep in negative territory below $4,100. Investors adopt a cautious stance after US President Trump said at the NATO summit that the MoU signed with Iran to end the conflict was "over" and added he didn't want to engage with Tehran.

Pi Network crashes to a record low amid broader market stress

Pi Network (PI) price edges toward $0.1000 extending losses for the fifth straight day. Retail sentiment remains bearish as Open Interest and the funding rate decline. The technical outlook for PI is bearish as selling pressure mounts, despite oversold conditions.

Bitcoin retreats as fresh US-Iran tensions dampen risk appetite

Bitcoin extends its correction, trading below $63,000 after failing to overcome the $64,000 resistance level. The renewed tensions in the Middle East have dampened risk appetite, weighing on BTC prices. Meanwhile, a sharp contraction in the stablecoin market in June signals reduced liquidity and weaker buying power in the crypto market.

Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.