|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: To consolidate after testing  the 100-day SMA

  • GBP/JPY trapped between 50- and 100-day SMAs near 212.00.
  • Bullish momentum persists as long as price holds above 209.64.
  • Break above 213.00 targets 214.01 and 215.00 resistance levels.

The GBP/JPY fell by some 0.23% during Monday’s session as the safe-haven appeal of the Japanese Yen weighed on the pair, which continues to digest price action in the aftermath of Japanese authorities' intervention in the FX markets. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trade is at 212.72, near the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 212.79.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The momentum in the cross-pair remains bullish, with buyers stepping in once GBP/JPY tested the 100-day SMA at 211.93 and the 50-day SMA at 212.79. Although price action is capped within the two previously mentioned levels, as long as spot prices remain above the March 31 cycle low of 209.64, buyers could remain hopeful of higher prices.

For a bearish continuation, sellers must clear the 100-day SMA. Once surpassed, the next stop is the March 16 daily low of 210.81, followed by the 209.64 cycle low registered on March 29.

On the flip side, if GBP/JPY clears the 213.00 figure, buyers could re-engage and challenge the April 17 low-turned-resistance at 214.01 ahead of the 215.00 psychological level.

GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily

GBP/JPY daily chart

Japanese Yen Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.02%0.03%-0.02%-0.01%0.02%0.04%-0.03%
EUR-0.02%0.02%-0.02%-0.00%-0.01%0.04%0.00%
GBP-0.03%-0.02%-0.02%-0.03%-0.02%0.04%-0.00%
JPY0.02%0.02%0.02%-0.02%-0.02%0.05%-0.02%
CAD0.01%0.00%0.03%0.02%0.00%0.07%0.03%
AUD-0.02%0.00%0.02%0.02%-0.00%0.04%0.04%
NZD-0.04%-0.04%-0.04%-0.05%-0.07%-0.04%-0.02%
CHF0.03%-0.01%0.00%0.02%-0.03%-0.04%0.02%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flatlines near 0.6965 as less hawkish RBA counters USD weakness

AUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand triggers a fresh leg down in US bond yields, offsetting Fed hike bets and exerting additional pressure on the buck. However, a less hawkish RBA caps the Aussie.

USD/JPY declines below 158.00 as USD weakens on midterm election results

USD/JPY comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, dropping below 158.00 during the Asian session as the US Dollar slumps to a one-month low amid heightened political uncertainty after early US midterm vote counts. Moreover, the prospect of gridlock in Washington drives safe-haven flows, triggering a fresh leg down in US bond yields and further weighing on the buck.

Gold pops to four-day highs near $4,050

Gold manages to regain some composure, leaving behind two consecutive daily pullbacks and reclaiming the area above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The strong decline in the US Dollar, shrinking US Treasury yields across the curve and lower crude oil price all contributes to the yellow metal’s recovery.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend advance as US Dollar slides on Democrats' US midterm victory

Bitcoin trades above $78,000 on Wednesday as risk-on sentiment improves in the broader cryptocurrency market. Ethereum mirrors BTC’s recovery outlook, hovering above $2,300. Ripple similarly exchanges hands above $1.28, marking two consecutive days of gains.

US midterms 2026: Investor Q&A on the Democratic sweep
1. Gridlock replaces the stimulus narrative. A Democratic Congress would constrain Trump's ability to pursue additional fiscal expansion and legislative tax measures. But it cannot simply reverse the president's entire economic agenda. Executive powers, existing legislation and presidential vetoes remain important. 2. AI faces a higher hurdle, not an extinction event.
US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.