|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Steadies above 215.00 capped by 50-day SMA

  • GBP/JPY remains trapped near 215.00 as traders avoid directional bets.
  • Flat RSI signals consolidation while 50-day SMA caps upside.
  • Break below 214.57 exposes 200-day SMA and 211.47.

The GBP/JPY remains directionless on Thursday as traders turn cautious about opening fresh directional bets amid intervention fears in the FX markets, which could strengthen the Yen, and after solid UK data. The cross-pair sits at around 215.00, down 0.02%.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

GBP/JPY faced strong resistance at around the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 215.44. leading to sideways movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned flat at around its 50-neutral level, hinting that further consolidation lies ahead.

For a bullish resumption, the first resistance levels is the 50-day SMA and then the 216.00 milestone. A decisive break opens the path to 216.50 and ultimately reaches the 217.00 psychological barrier.

On the flip side, the GBP/JPY finds support at 215.00, with the 100-day SMA at 214.57 being up next. Beneath this area, the 200-day SMA stands at 212.12, just above the August 7 low of 211.47.

GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily

GBP/JPY daily chart

Japanese Yen Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.18%-0.00%1.10%-0.15%0.03%0.72%0.78%
EUR-0.18%-0.20%0.86%-0.41%-0.22%0.46%0.50%
GBP0.00%0.20%1.01%-0.22%-0.02%0.64%0.69%
JPY-1.10%-0.86%-1.01%-0.92%-0.72%-0.20%-0.09%
CAD0.15%0.41%0.22%0.92%0.21%0.73%0.98%
AUD-0.03%0.22%0.02%0.72%-0.21%0.66%0.70%
NZD-0.72%-0.46%-0.64%0.20%-0.73%-0.66%0.05%
CHF-0.78%-0.50%-0.69%0.09%-0.98%-0.70%-0.05%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits eight-month lows below 0.6850 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.6850, hitting an eight-month low in the Asian session on Thursday as the possibility of a steeper Fed rate hike in December helps the US Dollar hold near its highest level since April 2025. Geopolitical uncertainty also supports the safe-haven buck, while the RBA’s cautious, on-hold stance limits the Aussie.

USD/JPY eases from near 160.00 amid looming intervention risks, BoJ hike bets

USD/JPY retreats slightly from an over two-month high as the recent surge back to the 160.00 psychological mark prompted verbal warnings from Japanese authorities and sparked fears of direct FX intervention. Moreover, data showed that Japan’s wholesale inflation picked up again in October, strengthening the case for a BoJ hike in December and lifting the Japanese Yen. However, a bullish US Dollar, bolstered by odds of a jumbo Fed rate hike in December, could cap the pair's downside.



Gold remains depressed below $4,000 as USD extends rally on Fed hike bets, Mideast risks

Gold sticks to its bearish tone for the third straight day, trading below the $4,000 psychological mark, and near its lowest level in more than a week, touched during the Asian session. The US Dollar extends a hot US consumer inflation figures-led rally amid Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations and Middle East uncertainties. This is seen as a key factor exerting downward pressure on the commodity.

MSCI drops Strategy from indexes: What it means for Bitcoin

Strategy and Bitcoin (BTC) came under fresh pressure late Wednesday after MSCI finalized its decision to remove the Bitcoin treasury company from its global indexes, raising concerns about potential selling pressure on MSTR shares and its future Bitcoin purchases.

Why the US Dollar's rally isn't as strong as it looks

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is back at an 18-month high, but most of its climb since August is the Euro falling. Against a wider group of trading partners, the Dollar has gained half as much, and the Federal Reserve has raised rates once this year. The US Dollar Index, which measures the Dollar against six other currencies, is trading near 103.

What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.