|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Sellers eye break below 100-day SMA

  • GBP/JPY tests 100-day SMA as Yen momentum improves.
  • RSI near 42 signals sellers retain near-term control.
  • Break below 212.79 exposes 211.26 and 210.45 supports.

The GBP/JPY retreats during the North American session on Thursday, down 0.21% as the Pound Sterling depreciates, despite the Bank of England (BoE) holding rates unchanged. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 213.11 after peaking near 214.06.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

From a price action perspective, the GBP/JPY is neutral-biased, though over the last couple of trading days, the Yen has shown signs of life, driving the cross-pair to test key support at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 212.79.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that momentum favors further downside, with the index aiming lower, at 41.68. Hence, the GBP/JPY might continue to edge lower.

If GBP/JPY clears decisively the 199-day SMA, the next support would be the May 18 daily low of 211.26. Below sits the April 30 swing low of 210.45, before the cross aims toward the 200-day SMA at 209.32.

On the other hand, GBP/JPY must clear the 50-day SMA at 214.25 to allow buyers to challenge the 215.00 milestone. Up next, the area of interest is the 216.00 mark.

GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily

GBP/JPY daily chart

Japanese Yen Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD1.01%1.58%0.74%1.03%0.40%1.26%1.02%
EUR-1.01%0.53%-0.24%0.00%-0.63%0.25%0.00%
GBP-1.58%-0.53%-0.96%-0.51%-1.16%-0.27%-0.52%
JPY-0.74%0.24%0.96%0.27%-0.35%0.55%0.26%
CAD-1.03%-0.01%0.51%-0.27%-0.66%0.29%-0.01%
AUD-0.40%0.63%1.16%0.35%0.66%0.89%0.64%
NZD-1.26%-0.25%0.27%-0.55%-0.29%-0.89%-0.25%
CHF-1.02%-0.00%0.52%-0.26%0.00%-0.64%0.25%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD tests 0.7000 as RBA hike looms amid risk-off mood

The Australian Dollar began the week on a lower note against the US Dollar, at around 0.7000, as depicted in the AUD/USD daily chart, as investors brace for the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decision following optimistic US economic data.





USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold recovers on positive US-Iran headlines

Gold extends its recovery during American trading hours on Monday, supported by falling Oil prices following positive headlines on US-Iran talks. The metal regains ground after hitting a fresh yearly low of $3,870 on Friday and ending October down 6.87%. However, the rebound lacks conviction as the fundamental backdrop continues to raise doubts over a sustained recovery.

RBA expected to raise interest rate to 4.85%

The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its monetary policy decision on Tuesday and is widely anticipated to raise the Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 4.85% from 4.6%. If the RBA delivers as expected, it will be the fifth interest rate hike of 2026, and the OCR will hit an 18-year high.

Strong iPhone sales fortify Apple's Q4 result

A robust fourth-quarter for Apple's iPhone sales helped the tech titan beat Wall Street's consensus on Monday. Apple reported $57.58 billion in iPhone sales in Q4, beating the average analyst estimate by more than a billion. However, AAPL stock shed close to 4% afterhours despite the top and bottom line beat.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.