|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Trims a part of strong intraday gains, faces rejection near 182.00

  • GBP/JPY gains strong positive traction and spikes to a four-day high after the BoJ decision.
  • The mixed technical setup warrants some caution for bulls and positioning for further gains.
  • A convincing break below the 181.15 support will shift the bias in favour of bearish traders.

The GBP/JPY cross rallies nearly 200 pips from the vicinity of the 180.00 psychological mark and touches a multi-day peak in reaction to the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to maintain the status quo. Spot prices, however, lose traction and retreat from the 182.00 neighbourhood as BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting press conference gets underway.

From a technical perspective, the strong intraday move up and acceptance above the 181.00 mark confirms a breakout through a multi-day-old consolidative trading range. That said, oscillators on the daily chart are still holding deep in the negative territory. This makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the GBP/JPY cross has formed a bottom and positioning for an extension of the recent bounce from the 178.35 region, or the lowest level since October touched last week.

In the meantime, momentum beyond the 182.00 mark is likely to confront some resistance near the 182.60 horizontal zone ahead of the 183.00 mark. A sustained strength beyond the latter could lift the GBP/JPY cross to the 183.60-183.65 region en route to the 184.00 round figure and last week's swing high, around the 184.30-184.35 zone.

On the flip side, any meaningful pullback now seems to find decent support near the 181.15-181.10 region. A convincing break below will make the GBP/JPY cross vulnerable to accelerate the fall further towards the 180.00 mark. Some follow-through selling below the 179.75 area might expose the 179.00 level and the multi-month low, around the 178.35 region set last Thursday.

GBP/JPY daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price181.83
Today Daily Change1.08
Today Daily Change %0.60
Today daily open180.75
 
Trends
Daily SMA20184.66
Daily SMA50184.21
Daily SMA100183.78
Daily SMA200178.28
 
Levels
Previous Daily High181.18
Previous Daily Low180
Previous Weekly High184.33
Previous Weekly Low178.35
Previous Monthly High188.67
Previous Monthly Low182.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%180.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%180.45
Daily Pivot Point S1180.1
Daily Pivot Point S2179.46
Daily Pivot Point S3178.92
Daily Pivot Point R1181.29
Daily Pivot Point R2181.83
Daily Pivot Point R3182.48

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold rebounds as global equity sell-off weigh on Treasury yields

Gold attracts fresh buying on Thursday as weakness across global equities, driven by mounting concerns over AI-related investments, triggers a sharp pullback in US Treasury yields and drags the US Dollar lower from fresh year-to-date highs. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,155, up 1.21% on the day.

Bitcoin, XRP analyst sentiment jumps as Solana bulls hit 91%: CryptoQuant

Analyst sentiment on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, BNB and XRP has flipped bullish since July, as the top five cryptocurrencies recovered faster and more strongly than during the 2022-2023 market phase, according to CryptoQuant.

Budget preview: Is Healey impressing the bond market?

There is less than 2 weeks to go before the Chancellor delivers his first budget. Unusually for the UK, the economic and financial backdrop to this budget is upbeat. UK bonds have been rallying, the FTSE 100 is the top performing major stock index this week, and the Pound is also stabilising versus the Dollar.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?