GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Faces solid resistance around 154.60, braces to the 154.10s

The British pound rally continues vs. the Japanese yen.
Positive UK labor data and GDP further cement a BoE’s rate hike.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Neutral-upward biased, but downside risks remain due to solid resistance around the 154.60-155.00.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

GBP/JPY extends its rally to three straight days, thus negating the double-top chart pattern, as the cross-currency pair turns bullish on a positive UK employment report amid a mixed market mood. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 154.21.

Late in the New York session, the market mood is “somewhat” positive, as portrayed by US equities trading with gains. In the FX space, safe-haven peers trade softer as the trading day progresses.

Goodish UK data and a “hawkish” BoE to lift the pound

Data-wise, the UK reported employment figures, which beat expectations, thus raising the prospects of the GBP. Along with last Friday’s solid GDP data, those figures and the Bank of England (BoE) third rate hike on Thursday would keep the GBP buoyant against the JPY.

Overnight, the GBP/JPY climbed near the 154.50 area but plunged 100-pips, though recovered on risk-appetite near the 154.50 area, which is a strong resistance level, difficult to break for GBP/JPY bulls.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/JPY is neutral-upward biased. The longer time-frame daily moving averages (DMAs) like the 100 and the 200-DMAs reside below the spot price, a sign of bullishness in the pair. Contrarily the 50-DMA is at 155.11, above the spot price, and due to the last couple of candles, the 154.60-155.00 area would be a solid resistance area to overcome.

Upwards, the GBP/JPY first resistance would be March 15 high at 154.68. Breach of the latter would expose the 155.00 mark but beware of a possible consolidation in the 154.60-155.00 range. Nevertheless, a decisive break of the former would expose 156.00.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price	154.21
Today Daily Change	0.50
Today Daily Change %	0.33
Today daily open	153.66

Trends
Daily SMA20	154.3
Daily SMA50	155.22
Daily SMA100	154.08
Daily SMA200	153.34

Levels
Previous Daily High	154.19
Previous Daily Low	152.92
Previous Weekly High	153.4
Previous Weekly Low	150.99
Previous Monthly High	158.07
Previous Monthly Low	153.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	153.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	153.4
Daily Pivot Point S1	152.99
Daily Pivot Point S2	152.31
Daily Pivot Point S3	151.71
Daily Pivot Point R1	154.26
Daily Pivot Point R2	154.87
Daily Pivot Point R3	155.54

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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