|

GBP/JPY pares suspected JPY intervention-inspired losses; stays pressured below 213.00

  • GBP/JPY attracts heavy intraday selling as the JPY rallies amid suspected intervention.
  • The optimism over a US-Iran peace deal caps any further upside for the safe-haven JPY.
  • The BoE’s hawkish signal continues to underpin the GBP and limits losses for spot prices.

The GBP/JPY cross retreated nearly 350-pips from the weekly top, around the 214.20-214.25 region set earlier this Wednesday, amid another suspected government intervention to prop up the Japanese Yen (JPY). Spot prices, however, rebound swiftly from the 210.75 area and trade around the 212.65-212.70 region during the early part of the European session.

Data released by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) last week showed that the Ministry of Finance (MOF) spent around ¥5.48 trillion (USD 35 billion) to support the JPY after it breached the 160.00 psychological mark vs the US Dollar (USD). Traders remain on edge amid expectations that Japanese authorities will step back into the market to prop up the domestic currency. This turned out to be a key factor behind the GBP/JPY pair's sharp intraday decline.

The JPY bulls, however, refrain from placing aggressive bets in the absence of an official confirmation on interventions. Apart from this, the optimism over a potential US-Iran peace deal undermines the JPY's relative safe-haven status against its British counterpart. Furthermore, the Bank of England's (BoE) hawkish signal, that rate hikes could be appropriate if inflation remains persistent, further limits the downside for the GBP/JPY cross.

Even from a technical perspective, spot prices have been showing resilience below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This, in turn, makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that the GBP/JPY cross has topped out and positioning for an extension of the recent sharp pullback from the 216.60 area, or the highest level since January 2008, set last week.

(The story was corrected on May 6 at 08:43 GMT to say that the US-Iran peace deal undermines the safe-haven JPY, not underpins.)

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.29%-0.35%-0.88%-0.18%-0.74%-0.99%-0.18%
EUR0.29%-0.07%-0.57%0.12%-0.45%-0.73%0.11%
GBP0.35%0.07%-0.51%0.20%-0.38%-0.65%0.21%
JPY0.88%0.57%0.51%0.69%0.12%-0.14%0.74%
CAD0.18%-0.12%-0.20%-0.69%-0.56%-0.82%0.02%
AUD0.74%0.45%0.38%-0.12%0.56%-0.26%0.59%
NZD0.99%0.73%0.65%0.14%0.82%0.26%0.85%
CHF0.18%-0.11%-0.21%-0.74%-0.02%-0.59%-0.85%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.