|

GBP: Chancellor Reeves reinforces commitment to fiscal rule – Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is up 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD), a mid-performer among the G10 currencies in an environment of broad-based USD weakness, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

GBP is a mid-performer for now

"Domestic lending data were mixed and market participants remain focused on fiscal developments. Comments from Chancellor Reeves pushed back on calls for a wealth tax and reinforced a broader commitment to the government’s self-imposed fiscal rule. Yield spreads are steady and measures of sentiment are showing signs of stabilization."

"The GBP’s technicals are leaning marginally bearish as it remains below its 50 day MA (1.3468) and its RSI hovers in the mid-40s. Last week’s price action has revealed clear support in the mid/lower-1.33s, however we remain neutral in the absence of a break back above 1.35. We look to a near-term range bound between 1.3380 and 1.3480."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.