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GBP/CAD Price Analysis: A bearish-harami appears in the H4 chart as the pair retreats from 1.7300

  • The GBP/CAD climbs courtesy of the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy, retraces at the press conference.
  • The market sentiment has deteriorated as the North American session advances.
  • GBP/CAD formed a bearish-harami, exposing the confluence of the 50 and the 100-SMAs in the 4-hour chart.

On Thursday, after a jump towards new weekly tops post-BoE around 1.7300, the GBP/CAD retreats but stays in the green during the day. At the time of writing, the GBP/CAD is trading at 1.7249.

Market sentiment conditions are depressed as European bourses printed losses between 0.27% and 1.76%. Across the pond is the same story, with major US equity indices recording losses, between 0.77% and almost 3%. In the FX market, the gainers are the EUR, NZD, and the GBP, while the CAD follows the CHF and the JPY as the laggards.

GBP/CAD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/CAD 4-hour chart depicts the pair as upward biased. Even though the H4-simple moving averages (SMAs) are in a disorderly bullish/bearish order, they reside below the spot price, confirming the bias. However, the GBP/CAD tested the January 5 daily high at 1.7313 but failed to reclaim that price level, exposing the GBP to selling pressure.

That said, the GBP/CAD formed a bearish-harami pattern. On its way down, the GBP/CAD first support would be 1.7211. A breach of the latter would expose crucial support levels, like the January 14 daily high at 1.7187, followed by the 200-SMA at 1.7234, and then the confluence of the 50 and 100-SMAs around the 1.7096-83 area.

GBP/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.7234
Today Daily Change0.0041
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open1.7193
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.7109
Daily SMA501.7073
Daily SMA1001.7062
Daily SMA2001.7155
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.7233
Previous Daily Low1.7141
Previous Weekly High1.7148
Previous Weekly Low1.6949
Previous Monthly High1.7314
Previous Monthly Low1.6949
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.7198
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.7176
Daily Pivot Point S11.7145
Daily Pivot Point S21.7097
Daily Pivot Point S31.7053
Daily Pivot Point R11.7237
Daily Pivot Point R21.7281
Daily Pivot Point R31.7329

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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