FOMC: No urgency to raise policy rates - NBF

Sandeep Kanihama FXStreet Contributor

Analysts at National Bank Financial, suggest that today’s Fed rate setting meeting will be held on the heel of a month characterized by both global and domestic stock market weakness, which has contributed to some tightening of U.S. financial conditions.

Key Quotes

“Looking at the real side of the economy we note that the Economic Surprise Index has improved slightly since the September FOMC meeting. However most of the gain may be attributed to survey data rather than hard data, which have largely remained softer than expected.”

“In that context, we do not see why the FOMC would feel any urgency to raise its policy rate on November 8th. This said, in light of our economic projections, we think the Fed remains on track to deliver one more rate hike this year, but in December. That would be consistent with last week comments by the Fed’s new vice chair Richard Clarida, who, in his first public speech, said he thought “some further gradual adjustment in the policy rate range will likely be appropriate.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

USD/JPY stays below 160.50 as markets assess BoJ decision

USD/JPY fluctuates in a relatively narrow range above 160.00 on Tuesday as markets assess the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to raise the policy rate by 25 at the June meeting. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on news coming out of the Middle East, while preparing for the critical Fed meeting.

AUD/USD trades in tight channel near 0.7050 despite hawkish RBA message

AUD/USD trades modestly lower on the day at around 0.7050 on Tuesday as markets adopt a cautious stance amid a lack of details surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left the door open for possible policy tightening after leaving the interest rate unchanged, as expected, at the June meeting but failed to boost the Australian Dollar.

Gold clings to moderate gains above $4,300 following Monday's rally

Gold maintains a mildly positive tone, holding gains after rallying about 6% over the last few days. The precious metal's recovery, however, has lost steam after crossing the $4,300 line as the initial enthusiasm about the US-Iran peace deal faded, with investors moving to the sidelines in anticipation of details of the agreement and monetary policy decisions by the Fed.

Solana's rebound gains momentum as ETF inflows return

Solana (SOL) steadies at $73 after posting three consecutive green candlesticks since the weekend. The recent recovery is supported by institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording net inflows of $2.81 million on Monday.

BoJ just hiked and US-Iran deal is on the table: Why Japanese Yen is still below 160.00

The Bank of Japan lifted interest rates from 0.75% to 1.00%, its highest level in more than three decades. The landmark move aims to stabilize a sharply weakening Japanese Yen, but by looking at the immediate market reaction, it doesn’t look like it’s going to work.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.