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Fed’s Schmid warns inflation goes beyond energy as policy stays loose

Kansas City Federal Reserve (Fed) President Jeffrey Schmid said that “inflation is top of mind,” adding that current monetary policy is “fairly accommodative,” in hawkish comments delivered at a Conference in Houston, TX, hosted on Tuesday by the Dallas Fed and the Kansas City Fed.

Schmid added that there are “some concerning trends in prices, underneath the whole energy story.” He emphasized that the labor market is solid, as “hiring is pretty robust lately.”

Key highlights:

Some concerning trends in prices, underneath the whole energy story

US hiring pretty robust lately.

Fed benchmark rate fairly accommodative today

Could argue housing is going through an 'interesting dynamic’ but elsewhere can't find any restriction

Demand is strong, and rates not a cause for hesitation

Inflation is top of mind

instant payments will leap over digital asset structures

A lot of interesting data points between now and Fed's December meeting

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.53%0.73%0.57%0.48%0.89%0.54%0.73%
EUR-0.53%0.20%0.05%-0.04%0.36%0.02%0.21%
GBP-0.73%-0.20%-0.17%-0.23%0.16%-0.19%0.00%
JPY-0.57%-0.05%0.17%-0.08%0.32%-0.03%0.16%
CAD-0.48%0.04%0.23%0.08%0.40%0.05%0.24%
AUD-0.89%-0.36%-0.16%-0.32%-0.40%-0.35%-0.16%
NZD-0.54%-0.02%0.19%0.03%-0.05%0.35%0.18%
CHF-0.73%-0.21%-0.00%-0.16%-0.24%0.16%-0.18%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Fed FAQs

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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