|

Fed's Miran: Policy outook remains for rate cuts

Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors member Stephan Miran told Bloomberg on Monday that they shouldn't make policy decisions on short-term headlines.

Key takeaways

"Premature to judge the current situation."

"Traditional central bank view is oil shocks don't hit core inflation."

"The labor market could still use support from monetary policy."

"Still not enough clarity to know monetary policy should react to current events."

"Expecting higher headline inflation but too soon to say it will hit core."

"Higher energy prices depress demand, offsets some of inflation impact."

"It would be highly unusual for Fed to react to oil shock now."

"Watching for broad based second round impacts from higher energy."

"It could happen that higher oil drives up inflation, but not seeing it yet."

"Policy outook remains for rate cuts."

"The job market is continuing gradual softening trend."

"Balance of risks got worse on both sides."

Market reaction

The US Dollar Index extends its daily decline following these remarks and was last seen losing 0.38% on the day at 99.12.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD tests daily lows near 1.1380; focus on ECB Forum

EUR/USD remains under pressure below 1.1400 on Wednesday amid extra gains in the US Dollar. In addition, softer-than-expected inflation data in Germany and the Euroland fuel expectations of a less aggressive ECB, contributing to the downside mood.

Gold clings to daily gains beyond $4,000 ahead of Warsh

Gold manages to regain composure and advance past the key $4,000 per troy ounce on Wednesday, reversing two daily drops in a row. The yellow metal’s decent bounce comes despite uncertainty surrounding Iran and growing expectations of a Fed rate hike continue to support the Greenback for now.


ISM Manufacturing PMI expected to signal continued expansion in the US

Attention shifts to Wednesday’s release of the June ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index, one of the most closely followed indicators of activity in the US manufacturing sector and an important barometer of the broader economy. Markets expect the headline index to remain unchanged at 54.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of  Sintra this week. The European Central Bank Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Federal Reserve, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.