|

Fed's Barkin: Fed waiting for uncertainty to clear before acting

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin hit newswires on Thursday, warning that incoming economic uncertainty at the hands of the Trump administration's lopsided trade policy will force the Fed into a wait-and-see approach than most investors are hoping for.

Key highlights

Fed waiting for uncertainty to clear before acting.

Federal policy changes create instability in near term.

Uncertainty-driven drop in sentiment could quiet demand.

Moderately restrictive policy stance a good place to be.

It's hard to imagine the labor market will break toward hiring.

Regarding tariffs, given recent high inflation there could be more of an impact on prices, but it is still not known where rates will settle or how affected countries businesses and consumers will respond.

Direction of Federal policy changes may be known, but extent and how they net out in the economy remains uncertain.

Current levels of uncertainty could dampen consumer and business spending.

Bankers desire certainty from regulatory agency.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold aims to regain the ground lost

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).