|

Euro: Mild downside bias within range against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report EUR/USD closed almost unchanged near 1.1625 after a brief spike to 1.1660. They see slightly stronger downside momentum that could test 1.1610, though a move to the key 1.1590 support is viewed as unlikely for now. Over 1–3 weeks, they keep a neutral stance, expecting a 1.1590–1.1685 range.

Euro pressured but still rangebound

"24-HOUR VIEW: During the London session, EUR briefly popped to a high of 1.1660 and then dropped back down to 1.1621. EUR closed largely unchanged at 1.1624 (-0.03%). The slight increase in downward momentum suggests that EUR could edge lower toward 1.1610 today. A break below this level is not ruled out, but based on the current momentum, any further declines are unlikely to reach the major support at 1.1590. Resistance is at 1.1640; a break above 1.1655 would indicate that the current mild downward pressure has eased."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We turned neutral on EUR on Monday (25 May, spot at 1.1620), and we were of the view that it “is likely to trade between 1.1590 and 1.1685.” Since then, EUR has traded mostly in a range, and there is no change in our view"

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD extends the range play above 0.7200 as traders await US inflation data

AUD/USD is seen extending its consolidative price move above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Thursday amid mixed cues. Rising RBA rate-hike bets keep the Aussie close to its highest level since May 14. However, hawkish Fed expectations and escalating US-Iran tensions offer some support to the US Dollar, capping the currency pair as traders await US inflation figures.


USD/JPY consolidates around 153.50 as bears turn cautious ahead of US inflation

USD/JPY stabilizes above 153.50 during the Asian session on Thursday, but remains near a seven-month low set earlier this week as hawkish BoJ repricing continues to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, rising September Fed rate-hike bets and escalating US-Iran tensions help ease US Dollar selling pressure, offering some support to the currency pair ahead of US inflation figures.

Gold regains balance above $4,400

Gold rebounds on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak and reclaiming the are beyond the key $4,400 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s bounce comes amid further selling pressure on the US Dollar and steady uncertainty on the geopolitical front.

Bitcoin outperforms global assets as $83K-$86K resistance zone continues to weigh on rally

Bitcoin (BTC) has continued to recover from its mid-year weakness, outperforming major traditional assets over the past month, amid strong resistance around the $83,000 to $86,000 range. BTC gained 23% over the past 21 trading sessions, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were broadly flat and the Euro Stoxx 50 declined, according to a Glassnode report published Wednesday.

Private credit books a Fed hike as income until borrowers stop paying
Seven of the largest publicly traded business development companies (BDCs) state in their June quarter filings what a rise in the base rate is worth to them. Across the seven, 100 basis points adds $677.1 million of annualised interest and dividend income and $367.2 million of net income.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.