EUR/USD: Range still intact – OCBC

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Euro (EUR) rose sharply post-Powell’s speech last Friday amid USD softness. EUR was last at 1.17 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Daily momentum shows signs of turning mild bullish

"Elsewhere on ECBspeaks, Nagel said that economic outlook would need to shift significantly for the ECB to lower borrowing costs again. Rehn said that Inflation is for now in a good place… Any insurance cut just for its own sake wouldn’t be necessary though the ECB must of course be mindful of the risks."

"Lagarde said that inflation has fallen sharply, and at a remarkably low cost in terms of employment but also cautioned that it is difficult to say with confidence whether recent patterns will persist. "

"Daily momentum shows tentative signs of turning mild bullish while rise in RSI moderated. 2-way trades still likely. Resistance at 1.1730, 1.18 levels. Support at 1.1610/50 levels (21, 50 DMAs) and 1.1570 levels. We look for recent range in 1.1620 – 1.1730 to hold."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions.

Gold holds losses near $5,050 despite renewed USD selling

Gold price trades in negative territory near $5,050 in Thursday's Asian session. The precious metal faces headwinds from stronger-than-expected US employment data, even as the US Dollar sees a bout of fresh selling. All eyes now remain on the next batch of US labor statistics.

Crypto trades through a confidence reset

The cryptocurrency market is navigating a liquidity-driven reset rather than a narrative-driven rally. Bitcoin, Ethereum and major altcoins remain under pressure even as new exchange-traded fund filings continue and selected inflow days appear on the tape.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.