|

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Eyes 1.1650 barrier near nine-day EMA

  • EUR/USD may navigate the region around the seven-month low of 1.1468.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 38 indicates persistent bearish pressure.
  • Primary resistance lies at the nine-day EMA around 1.1656.

EUR/USD pares its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1630 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Daily chart technical analysis indicates a bearish bias as the pair continues to trade within a descending channel pattern.

The EUR/USD pair retains a mildly bearish near-term bias as price holds below the nine- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signalling fading upside momentum within a broader consolidative context.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator at 38 shows bearish pressure persisting but not yet in oversold territory, which limits evidence of exhaustion on the downside. Together, these signals point to sellers keeping the upper hand while any rebounds remain capped by the short-term average.

The EUR/USD pair may find primary support at the seven-month low of 1.1468. Further declines would put downward pressure on the pair to test the lower boundary of the descending channel near the nine-month low of 1.1391.

On the upside, the EUR/USD may target the initial resistance at the nine-day EMA of 1.1656. A break above the short-term average would improve the market bias and support the pair to test the 50-day EMA at 1.1739, followed by the upper descending channel boundary around 1.1760. Further advances above the channel would lead the pair to explore the region around 1.2082, the highest level since June 2021.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.19%-0.27%0.08%-0.16%-0.83%-0.27%-0.20%
EUR0.19%-0.08%0.24%0.04%-0.64%-0.08%0.00%
GBP0.27%0.08%0.34%0.12%-0.56%0.00%0.08%
JPY-0.08%-0.24%-0.34%-0.22%-0.90%-0.35%-0.27%
CAD0.16%-0.04%-0.12%0.22%-0.68%-0.11%-0.04%
AUD0.83%0.64%0.56%0.90%0.68%0.56%0.67%
NZD0.27%0.08%-0.00%0.35%0.11%-0.56%0.08%
CHF0.20%-0.01%-0.08%0.27%0.04%-0.67%-0.08%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.