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EUR/USD advances above 1.0900 ahead of ECB policy decision

  • EUR/USD continues the winning streak on the subdued US Dollar.
  • The Greenback faces challenges as the Fed holds interest rates at 5.5%.
  • Fed’s “dot-plot” showed a decline of 50 basis points in Interest Rate Projection for 2024.
  • ECB is expected to not adjust its current interest rate stance.

EUR/USD moves on an upward trajectory that began on Monday on the back of dovish sentiment around the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) Interest Rate Decision. The Federal Reserve, in line with widespread expectations, decided to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.5% on Tuesday. The EUR/USD pair trades around 1.0910 during the Asian session on Thursday.

Additionally, the Fed's "dot-plot" revealed a notable shift in Interest Rate Projections for 2024, indicating a decline of 50 basis points from 5.1% to 4.6%. This adjustment in the projections suggests a potentially more accommodative monetary policy stance in the future.

US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to drop on the downbeat US bond yields, trading around 102.60. The 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields dropped to 4.34% and 3.97%, respectively, at the time of writing.

The economic sentiment in the United States (US) encounters headwinds with the release of discouraging Producer Price Index (PPI) data for November, adding pressure to the US Dollar. As reported by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the year-on-year growth in PPI slowed to 0.9%, missing the expected 1.0%. Similarly, the Core PPI recorded 2.0%, below the anticipated 2.2%. Market participants will focus on the upcoming release of US Retail Sales data on Thursday.

On the other side, the seasonally adjusted Industrial Production index, released by Eurostat on a monthly basis revealed that the output of the industry declined by 0.7% against the expected decline of 0.3%.

The upcoming monetary policy meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday is expected to maintain unchanged rates. Market attention is keenly focused on the ECB's guidance for 2024, particularly any indications regarding the potential timing of interest rate cuts.

EUR/USD: Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0909
Today Daily Change0.0028
Today Daily Change %0.26
Today daily open1.0881
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0871
Daily SMA501.0724
Daily SMA1001.0756
Daily SMA2001.0826
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0897
Previous Daily Low1.0773
Previous Weekly High1.0895
Previous Weekly Low1.0724
Previous Monthly High1.1017
Previous Monthly Low1.0517
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0849
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.082
Daily Pivot Point S11.0804
Daily Pivot Point S21.0727
Daily Pivot Point S31.068
Daily Pivot Point R11.0928
Daily Pivot Point R21.0974
Daily Pivot Point R31.1051

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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