EUR underperforms amid broad USD losses – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating in a tight range in the 1.09s, eking out a marginal gain against the US Dollar (USD) while underperforming all the G10 currencies in an environment of broad-based USD weakness.

EUR consolidates on the day

"The data calendar remains light, and focus is on next Thursday’s ECB decision where some policymakers are making a renewed case for easing in response to recent trade tensions. The EUR’s loss of support from spreads is notable, and our fair value estimate has fallen to the lower 1.07s from 1.10 on April 3."

"EUR/USD is still consolidating last week’s gains and trading in a relatively tight range roughly bound between support just below 1.09 and resistance above 1.11. Momentum is bullish but fading and the RSI is offering negative divergence, in that it failed to confirm last week’s fresh highs in spot."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold struggles below $4,300 level with bears still in control

Gold is trimming some losses on Friday, trading just below the $4,300 level after bouncing from support in the $4,230 area. The broader bearish trend, however, remains intact as market expectations pf further Federal Reserve rate highs and long-term US Treasury yields above the 5% level are likely to pose a heavy weight on precious metals.

Ripple, Cardano, Solana: ETF inflows and whale demand signal further rally

Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) continue to experience a steady recovery with double-digit gains so far this month. Ripple and Solana experience firm institutional demand, while the percentage of ADA supply in profit rises, underpinned by interest from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales.

The Dollar is winning, but markets may be losing

The dollar is strengthening, Treasury yields are approaching levels not seen in almost two decades, and oil prices are again adding to inflation concerns. For currency traders, these developments appear to offer a relatively straightforward conclusion: higher US interest rates should support the dollar. But the broader market picture is considerably more complicated.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.