EUR rises within range – Scotiabank

EUR rises on as-expected CPI ahead of ECB Thursday

"Final euro area March CPI figures were in line with expectations (2.2% y/y headline, 2.4% y/y core), and rate expectations for Thursday’s ECB have remained largely unchanged pricing in one full 25bpt cut for the meeting. The market narrative around trade continues to dictate near-term movement in EUR as tensions provide support and easing concerns provide for consolidation."

"EUR/USD’s consolidation is extending for a fourth session with movement roughly bound between the mid-1.12s and mid-1.14s. Momentum remains overbought with a 70+ RSI and the signal may be hinting to exhaustion."

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FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3500 as USD finds fresh demand

GBP/USD is flatlining near the 1.3500 level the second half of the day on Tuesday, facing some pressure from renewed US Dollar demand as a safe-haven amid surging Oil prices and inflationary concerns. The focus now remains on the Middle East headlines, with Wednesday's US CPI data approaching as this week's key risk event.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1550 amid US-Iran impasse

EUR/USD struggles to gain any meaningful traction on Tuesday and trades marginally lower on the day below 1.1550. Traders seem hesitant to place aggressive bets and opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis and this week's release of the latest US inflation figures.

Gold off two-month highs, back below $4,400 amid surging Oil prices

Gold retreats from its highest level since June 5 at $4,435, touched earlier this Tuesday, and slides back below the $4,400 mark in European trading. Surging Oil prices, amid the US-Iran impasse on talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, rekindled inflation concerns, lending support to the US DOllar at the expense of the non-yielding bullion.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidate, XRP dips as optimism for a US-Iran deal fades

Bitcoin (BTC) maintains a neutral outlook on Tuesday while testing support at $64,000. Investors appear to be sitting on the fence, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout above $65,000.

The inflation narrative is still way more important than the employment story

Core bonds sold off yesterday with the belly of the curve slightly underperforming in the US while European curves showed more of a bear flattening. Daily changes on the US curve varied between +4.7 bps (2-yr) and +6.4 bps (7-yr).

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.