|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Slips below 177.00 near nine-day EMA

  • EUR/JPY may find initial support at the 12-month low of 175.07.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index around 46 suggests neutral-to-soft momentum.
  • The immediate barrier lies at the nine-day EMA of 177.03.

EUR/JPY extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 176.90 during Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the currency cross is remaining within a descending channel pattern, suggesting an ongoing bearish bias.

The EUR/JPY cross is keeping a capped near-term tone as it holds beneath both the nine- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The alignment of shorter and longer EMAs above price hints at persistent downside risk, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 46 suggests neutral-to-soft momentum rather than an oversold condition, leaving room for further corrective pressure.

The EUR/JPY cross may fall toward the 12-month low of 175.07, reached on October 30, followed by the lower boundary of its descending channel around 173.60. A break below the channel would open the door for the currency cross to navigate the region around the 15-month low at 169.72.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross may rebound and test the immediate barrier at the nine-day EMA of 177.03, followed by the upper boundary of the descending channel around 178.20 and the 50-day EMA of 178.37. A successful break above the medium-term price average would cause a bullish reversal, supporting the EUR/JPY cross to explore the area around the all-time high of 187.95, reached on April 17.

Chart Analysis EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Analysts at MUFG highlight that improving domestic demand is becoming an increasingly important pillar of the Japan Government Bond market. Citing Ministry of Finance data, they note that “the data confirming this pick-up in JGB buying by Japanese households comes from the MoF,” which maintains a dedicated section on its website for individual JGBs. Issuance figures there “show a marked pick-up in issuance to individuals with the November total for 3-, 5-, and 10-year totalling JPY 2,026bn, the largest single-month total,” underscoring the scale of the recent shift in household participation.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.13%0.14%-0.10%0.06%0.02%0.05%0.00%
EUR-0.13%0.01%-0.21%-0.05%-0.11%-0.09%-0.13%
GBP-0.14%-0.01%-0.21%-0.10%-0.13%-0.09%-0.14%
JPY0.10%0.21%0.21%0.13%0.10%0.11%0.09%
CAD-0.06%0.05%0.10%-0.13%-0.02%-0.01%-0.04%
AUD-0.02%0.11%0.13%-0.10%0.02%0.03%-0.02%
NZD-0.05%0.09%0.09%-0.11%0.00%-0.03%-0.01%
CHF-0.01%0.13%0.14%-0.09%0.04%0.02%0.00%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits eight-month lows below 0.6850 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.6850, hitting an eight-month low in the Asian session on Thursday as the possibility of a steeper Fed rate hike in December helps the US Dollar hold near its highest level since April 2025. Geopolitical uncertainty also supports the safe-haven buck, while the RBA’s cautious, on-hold stance limits the Aussie.

USD/JPY eases from near 160.00 amid looming intervention risks, BoJ hike bets

USD/JPY retreats slightly from an over two-month high as the recent surge back to the 160.00 psychological mark prompted verbal warnings from Japanese authorities and sparked fears of direct FX intervention. Moreover, data showed that Japan’s wholesale inflation picked up again in October, strengthening the case for a BoJ hike in December and lifting the Japanese Yen. However, a bullish US Dollar, bolstered by odds of a jumbo Fed rate hike in December, could cap the pair's downside.



Gold remains a sell-on-rise trade amid steeper Fed hike bets

Gold fades its tepid recovery attempts at the $4,000 level early Thursday, as sellers refuse to budge amid rising expectations of a steeper interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve at its December monetary policy meeting.

XRP consolidates losses, XLM extends recovery
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show mild signs of recovery on Thursday, but bears continue to weigh on both cryptocurrencies. XRP trades near $1.055 while XLM holds modest gains around $0.148. Meanwhile, weakening on-chain activity caps both altcoins’ recovery prospects, despite improving price action. CryptoQuant’s summary data shows a bearish outlook for both altcoins.
UK GDP is set to show that the economy continued growing in Q3

The highlight of the United Kingdom’s economic calendar this week will be the preliminary estimate of third-quarter Gross Domestic Product, which the Office for National Statistics will release on Thursday. The market is bracing for 0.7% growth in the three months to September, following 0.5% growth in the second quarter of 2026, with the annual rate accelerating to 1.9%, from 1.4% in the previous month.

What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.