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EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Holds above 186.50 to test nine-day EMA barrier

  • EUR/JPY may rise toward the all-time high of 187.95.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index near 58 indicates positive momentum without overbought conditions.
  • The primary support lies at the 50-day EMA at 184.86.

EUR/JPY inches higher after three days of gains, trading around 186.60 during Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross is positioned slightly below the ascending channel, signaling potential for a bearish reversal.

However, the EUR/JPY cross holds a constructive bullish bias as it remains above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) while facing immediate friction at the nine-day EMA.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index sits around 58, comfortably above the midline yet below overbought territory, which suggests positive but not overstretched momentum that could favor further upside as long as the EUR/JPY cross holds over the underlying average.

The EUR/JPY cross is testing the immediate barrier at the nine-day EMA of 186.69. A rebound back to the ascending channel would reinforce the bullish bias and support the EUR/JPY cross to test the all-time high of 187.95, which was recorded on April 17. Further advances above this level would support the currency cross to explore the region around the upper boundary of the channel, around 189.40.

On the downside, further declines would put downward pressure on the EUR/JPY cross to navigate the region around the 50-day EMA at 184.86.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.09%0.10%0.05%0.10%0.17%0.21%0.12%
EUR-0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.08%0.12%0.04%
GBP-0.10%-0.01%-2.13%0.02%0.08%0.12%0.02%
JPY-0.05%0.00%2.13%0.03%0.10%0.14%0.03%
CAD-0.10%0.00%-0.02%-0.03%0.06%0.10%0.02%
AUD-0.17%-0.08%-0.08%-0.10%-0.06%0.04%-0.07%
NZD-0.21%-0.12%-0.12%-0.14%-0.10%-0.04%-0.09%
CHF-0.12%-0.04%-0.02%-0.03%-0.02%0.07%0.09%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.
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The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.