|

EUR futures: neutral/bearish near term

In view of preliminary figures for EUR futures markets from CME Group, investors scaled back their open interest positions by almost 2.9K contracts on Thursday vs. Wednesday’s final 567,922 contracts. Instead, volume rose by nearly 6.7K contracts, partially reverting the previous significant drop.

EUR/USD a test of 1.2200 remains on the cards

Recent activity in both open interest and volume appears far from significant, leaving the near term bearish stance on EUR/USD unchanged. Hence, the door stays open for a probable test of February’s low in the 1.2200 neighbourhood, while bullish attempts should remain tepid.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD defies gravity; focus is back to 0.7000

AUD/USD has maintained its bid bias around 0.6970 ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Tuesday. The pair has added to Friday’s rebound, retargeting the 0.7000 hurdle despite another day of firm gains in the Greenback. Looking ahead, Westpac will publish its Consumer Confidence gauge on the domestic calendar.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold treads water around $4,150

Gold now regains some composure and approaches the $4,150 mark per troy ounce late on Monday. The precious metal’s vacillating price action comes in response to the persistent advance in the US Dollar in combination with the resurgence of the upside momentum in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC slips, XAU downtrend persists as US Services PMI misses forecasts
Bitcoin (BTC) faces growing headwinds on Monday, as it trades lower below $86,000. Despite the ongoing pullback, the Crypto King remains in a broad range with the lower limit near $84,000 and the upper limit at $88,000. A break on either side of this zone would influence BTC's direction. Gold (XAU/USD), meanwhile, retains a dominant bearish outlook as price action continues downward toward $4,100.
Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.