|

Chinese Yuan: Neutral within 6.7620–6.7980 band versus US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that USD/CNH edged higher toward 6.79 but upward momentum remains limited. For the day, they expect consolidation in a 6.7800–6.7950 range. On a 1–3 week view, the pair is described as neutral, likely to trade between 6.7620 and 6.7980, while the broader 1–3 month bias still points to a gradual grind lower.

Range trading dominates Dollar Yuan

"24-HOUR VIEW: After our expectation for USD to “test 6.7850” did not turn out last Thursday, we indicated on Friday that “although upward momentum has not increased significantly, there is still a chance for USD to test 6.7850.” We added, “the next resistance at 6.7980 is unlikely to come under threat.” USD subsequently rose and broke above 6.7850, reaching a high of 6.7919. Despite the advance, upward momentum has not increased much. Today, instead of continuing to advance, USD is more likely to trade in a higher range of 6.7800/6.7950."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: Last Thursday (04 Jun, spot at 6.7750), we highlighted that the earlier “downward momentum has faded, and we are neutral on USD now,” and we expected USD “to trade between 6.7620 and 6.7980 for the time being.” On Friday, USD rose to a high of 6.7919. The increase in upward momentum is not sufficient to indicate a continued rise. In other words, we continue to hold the same view for now."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold bounces off monthly low as USD selling remains unabated amid falling bond yields

Gold pares heavy intraday losses to the monthly trough, though it retains an intraday bearish tone below $4,100 during Thursday’s early European session. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated as Federal Reserve officials recently signaled there is no urgency to raise interest rates at the upcoming October 27–28 meeting. Furthermore, US bond yields extend their retracement slide from multi-year highs, keeping USD bulls on the back foot and offering some support to the precious metal.

Dogecoin stays weak despite whales and new deal

Dogecoin price remains under pressure, trading below $0.081 despite a modest rebound earlier this week. Santiment data shows signs of accumulation, and Wednesday’s announcement of a Dogecoin Labs partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation adds a mildly bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives metrics and weakening momentum indicators continue to limit the meme coin recovery.

Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs with the AI trade, led by a bank

The Dow Jones Industrial Average got most of its share of Wednesday's artificial intelligence (AI) rally from a bank and a bulldozer maker. The index closed near 52,800, its highest close since early September. SpaceX (SPCX) reported 161% revenue growth and the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 1%, but under price weighting the gains that counted most belonged to Goldman Sachs (GS) and Caterpillar (CAT).

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.