|

Canadian Dollar remains pressured as hawkish Fed bets and Iran tensions support the US Dollar

  • USD/CAD hovers near one-month highs as geopolitical uncertainty keeps the US Dollar firmly supported.
  • Traders continue to assess the inflationary impact of rising Oil prices tied to the Middle East conflict.
  • Fears of prolonged disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz keep Oil prices elevated and limit deeper losses in the Canadian Dollar.

USD/CAD trades with a mild upside bias on Wednesday, supported by a firmer US Dollar (USD), while a modest pullback in Crude Oil prices weighs slightly on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3760, hovering near one-month highs.

Trading conditions remain relatively calm on Wednesday as investors continue to monitor developments surrounding the US-Iran war, while bracing for the possibility of renewed military strikes after both sides exchanged fresh threats.

US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that military action against Iran could still resume if talks fail, adding that “[W]e may have to give Iran another hit” and giving Tehran “two to three days” to reach a deal. Meanwhile, Iran warned that the war could spread far beyond the Middle East if the United States and Israel resume their attacks.

This backdrop keeps the US Dollar firmly supported, with the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, trading around 99.39 near six-week highs.

However, fears of prolonged supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz continue to keep energy markets on edge, keeping Oil prices elevated and limiting stronger upside moves in USD/CAD.

Meanwhile, rising Oil prices continue to stoke inflationary pressures, adding pressure on major central banks to keep interest rates elevated or raise borrowing costs further. In the United States, inflation accelerated sharply in April, leading traders to increasingly price in the possibility of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike by year-end.

In contrast, Canadian inflation data released on Tuesday surprised to the downside, reinforcing expectations that underlying inflation remains relatively contained. The softer data also reduced expectations of near-term interest rate hikes from the BoC, adding further pressure on the Canadian Dollar.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.12%0.00%0.03%0.19%-0.26%-0.16%0.15%
EUR-0.12%-0.13%-0.11%0.07%-0.39%-0.26%0.03%
GBP-0.00%0.13%0.00%0.20%-0.28%-0.15%0.15%
JPY-0.03%0.11%0.00%0.19%-0.27%-0.16%0.15%
CAD-0.19%-0.07%-0.20%-0.19%-0.46%-0.31%-0.04%
AUD0.26%0.39%0.28%0.27%0.46%0.12%0.39%
NZD0.16%0.26%0.15%0.16%0.31%-0.12%0.29%
CHF-0.15%-0.03%-0.15%-0.15%0.04%-0.39%-0.29%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls accelerate rally amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains bullish on Friday, led by Bitcoin’s surge above $77,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror BTC’s positive outlook, trading near $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.

Week ahead – Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets

Kevin Warsh to make his Jackson Hole debut amid confusing messaging. But a major hawkish surprise unlikely after bond market intervention. Nvidia earnings to also determine market direction as stock rally cools.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.