|

Canadian Dollar gains after June jobs report tops forecasts

  • The Canadian Dollar strengthens after Canada's June employment report beats expectations.
  • USD/CAD heads for its first weekly loss in six weeks.
  • Next week's US inflation data could shape expectations for the Fed's interest rate path.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after stronger-than-expected Canadian employment data. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.4160 after falling to a more than two-week low of 1.4136.

Statistics Canada reported that the economy added 18.2K jobs in June, exceeding market expectations of 10K. However, the reading was sharply lower than the 87.8K increase recorded in May. The Unemployment Rate eased to 6.5% from 6.6%.

As labor market conditions remain uneven, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is likely to maintain a wait-and-see approach, with policymakers expected to leave interest rates unchanged in the coming months while monitoring inflation risks, particularly those stemming from higher energy prices.

Energy-driven inflation risks are back in focus after Oil prices rose earlier this week following renewed hostilities in the Middle East. Higher crude lifted the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar, putting USD/CAD on track for its first weekly loss in six weeks.

However, Oil prices are paring earlier gains as diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions in the Middle East continue. Reuters reported that Qatari mediators are in Iran for talks aimed at creating conditions for broader negotiations.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm as traders reassess developments in the Middle East, while expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike later this year continue to underpin the Greenback, limiting further downside in USD/CAD.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, is trading around 100.90 after rebounding from an intraday low of 100.60.

Traders now await next week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, due on Tuesday, for fresh clues on the Fed's monetary policy path.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.05%-0.04%-0.37%-0.08%-0.15%-0.28%0.07%
EUR-0.05%-0.09%-0.43%-0.13%-0.21%-0.33%0.02%
GBP0.04%0.09%-0.33%-0.04%-0.14%-0.24%0.10%
JPY0.37%0.43%0.33%0.30%0.22%0.07%0.42%
CAD0.08%0.13%0.04%-0.30%-0.08%-0.21%0.14%
AUD0.15%0.21%0.14%-0.22%0.08%-0.13%0.19%
NZD0.28%0.33%0.24%-0.07%0.21%0.13%0.34%
CHF-0.07%-0.02%-0.10%-0.42%-0.14%-0.19%-0.34%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant above 0.6950 amid Mideast jitters

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, consolidating above mid-0.6900s during the Asian session on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. However, geopolitical risks and a hawkish Fed limit deeper losses for the safe-haven buck, capping spot prices amid receding RBA rate hike bets.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY reclaims 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties. This, along with BoJ rate-hike bets and intervention fears, limits JPY losses and keeps the pair confined in a familiar range.

Gold extends range play around $4,150 as bullish USD undertone caps gains

Gold trades with a positive bias for the second straight day on Friday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains confined in a range held over the past two weeks or so. The overnight decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed below an 18-month high, allowing the non-yielding bullion to recover further from a two-month low. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook and Iran risks favor USD bulls, capping the commodity.

Hyperliquid drops to $84 as Hyperliquid Labs begins $330 million OTC distribution
Hyperliquid Labs distributed 3.75 million HYPE tokens, worth about $330 million, through an over-the-counter (OTC) arrangement with an undisclosed institution, rather than selling the tokens on public exchanges. According to onchain data shared by OnchainLens on Wednesday, the tokens completed a seven-day unstaking period before the full allocation was credited to Hyperliquid Labs’ spot balance.
War should be bullish for Gold. Right now it's capping it
Oil is up by more than a third since the US and Israel went to war with Iran on February 28. Gold is down by about a fifth over the same stretch. The war reaches Gold through the Federal Reserve (Fed) rather than through fear. Every jump in Oil adds to the case for higher US interest rates, and higher rates make a metal that pays nothing more expensive to hold.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.