|

CAD regains some ground ahead of BoC policy decision – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) lost ground yesterday after weaker than expected CPI data lifted market speculation that the BoC could cut interest rates at today’s policy decision (13:45 GMT), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Broader trends remain bearish

"The CAD is regaining much of the ground lost on the data yesterday, however, and should be able to improve a little more if the Bank matches the street consensus for a hold decision. Swaps are pricing in a little more risk of a cut but pricing remains equivocal at best."

"Policymakers may want more clarity on the fluid tariff situation before deciding to ease policy again. The Bank releases its updated MPR this morning at 10ET and Governor Macklem and Senior DG Rogers will speak at 10.30ET."

"Solid gains in the USD yesterday following the stalling in the USD decline in the low 1.38 area may signal a short-term low for USD/CAD at least. Broader trends remain bearish, however, which suggests limited scope for the USD to extend gains. Resistance is 1.4000 /25. Support is 1.3825/45."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).