|

CAD: All eyes on Governor Poloz as markets await BoC policy clarity - ING

All eyes will be on Governor Poloz today as markets seek clarity over what the BoC chief means by “rate cuts have done their job”, suggests analysis team at ING.

Key quotes

“The timing of hawkish G10 central bank surprises in June has been rather odd to the say the least given that macro conditions have weakened (not strengthened) over the period. Canada epitomises this – positive data surprises have become scarcer since mid-April, while weaker oil prices and a drop in rig counts are not exactly supportive short-term factors. All eyes will be on Governor Poloz today (speaking on an ECB Panel at 14:30 BST) as markets seek clarity over what the BoC chief means by “rate cuts have done their job”; we do not subscribe to the view taken by markets that a near-term rate hike is likely and think the risks are for short-term rates to partly reverse their move higher (= CAD downside).”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed 0.7000, awaits FOMC Minutes

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its recent recovery move and trades with a negative bias below 0.7000 in Wednesday's Asian session. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers after a fresh leg up in US bond yields, keeping the pair under pressure despite hawkish RBA expectations. All eyes now remain on the FOMC Minutes.

USD/JPY holds firm near 158.50 ahead of Fed Minutes

USD/JPY hangs close to a one-and-a-half-week high near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle before positioning for further gains ahead of the FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties, boosting the pair amid dovish BoJ commentary.

Gold falls as US Dollar, Treasury yields rebound ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold falls nearly 1.20% as the US Dollar and US Treasury yields resume their advance. Traders await the FOMC Minutes for fresh clues on the likelihood of another rate hike before year-end.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP fall liquidating $550M

Bitcoin’s correction follows a recent rejection due to supply around $87,200. Altcoins are generally in a correction trend, as Ethereum edges lower toward the next key support at $2,600 and Ripple extends its down leg near the $1.45 demand area.

Risk sentiment sours, as UK employment picture darkens

Risk sentiment is deteriorating further as we move through Wednesday. The price of Brent crude oil is now above $102 per barrel, the sell off in European stock indices is deepening, and the gold price is lower by more than 1%.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.