|

British Pound retreats from weekly high vs firmer USD as focus shifts to BoE, US data

  • GBP/USD meets with a fresh supply as the USD regains positive traction after the post-FOMC fall.
  • Fed rate hike remains on the table amid inflation fears, supporting the USD amid Mideast tensions.
  • Traders now look forward to the key BoE rate decision and important US macroeconomic releases.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's strong move up to the weekly high and drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around mid-1.3300s, down over 0.10% for the day, and, for now, seem to have stalled the recovery move from a nearly four-week low, touched on Tuesday.

The US Dollar (USD) regains some positive traction following the previous day's post-FOMC slide to an over one-week low and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. As was widely expected, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) held interest rates steady at the end of a two-day meeting on Wednesday. The central bank, however, refrained from adopting a more aggressive stance on monetary policy, which, in turn, weighed heavily on the Greenback.

Meanwhile, the on-hold rate decision was far from unanimous, featuring three dissents in a 9–3 vote, which reflected a deeply divided central bank. Furthermore, traders are still pricing in a greater chance of at least one interest rate hike by the end of this year amid rapidly shifting inflationary dynamics due to volatile oil prices. This, along with a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, helps the safe-haven USD to attract some dip-buyers and is seen weighing on the GBP/USD pair.

Traders, however, might refrain from placing aggressive directional bets and opt to wait for the crucial Bank of England (BoE) policy decision, due later today. This will be followed by important US macro releases – the Advance Q2 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. Apart from this, the incoming geopolitical headlines will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics and produce some meaningful trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.

Economic Indicator

BoE Interest Rate Decision

The Bank of England (BoE) announces its interest rate decision at the end of its eight scheduled meetings per year. If the BoE is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and raises interest rates it is usually bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP). Likewise, if the BoE adopts a dovish view on the UK economy and keeps interest rates unchanged, or cuts them, it is seen as bearish for GBP.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Jul 30, 2026 11:00

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 3.75%

Previous: 3.75%

Source: Bank of England

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with weekly highs in the Fed's aftermath

GBP/USD reversed early losses following the Federal Reserve decision to keep rates on hold and neared the 1.3360 level before shedding some ground. Focus shifts to Governor Kevin Warsh's speech, while the Bank of England will announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday.

EUR/USD extends rally pass 1.1450 on Fed's Warsh

EUR/USD trades at fresh weekly highs above 1.1450, following the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision to keep interest rates on hold. The statement showed policymakers remain confident in economic progress while blaming inflation on energy prices. The divided vote among officials put in doubt a September hike, leading to sharp US Dollar losses.

Gold faces rejection near $4,100 amid emergence of USD dip-buying

Gold struggles to build on a modest intraday uptick beyond $4,100 during the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's post-FOMC slide to a one-week low. Escalating US-Iran tensions support oil prices, fueling inflation fears and bolstering bets for at least one Fed rate hike in 2026. This, in turn, underpins the Greenback and acts as a headwind for the non-yielding bullion.

Bitcoin trails US Dollar as Fed holds rate steady
The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% at its July meeting on Wednesday, in line with market expectations. Minutes from the meeting showed that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty. The central bank also noted that job gains have "kept pace with the workforce."
No soft target: Warsh vows to return inflation to 2%
The Fed left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, but the decision carried a distinctly hawkish edge as three officials voted for an immediate 25-basis-point increase. Chair Kevin Warsh reinforced that message, insisting there was no tolerance for a softer inflation target and warning that the Fed would not hesitate to act.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.