|

British Pound builds on intraday gains vs weaker USD; approaches 1.3500 on Iran deal hopes

  • GBP/USD kicks off the new week on a positive note and climbs to over a one-week top on Monday.
  • Hopes for a potential US-Iran peace deal undermine the safe-haven USD and support spot prices.
  • The broader fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before positioning for any further gains.

The GBP/USD pair is seen building on its modest bullish opening gap on Monday and recovering further from its lowest level since April 8, around the 1.3300 round figure touched last week. The intraday move up is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD) and lifts spot prices back closer to the 1.3500 psychological mark, or a one-and-a-half-week high during the Asian session.

Developments over the weekend spurred hopes for a potential US-Iran peace deal and undermined the USD's reserve currency status. Furthermore, an intraday slump in Crude Oil prices to over a two-week low eases inflationary concerns and trigger a steep decline in US Treasury bond yields, exerting additional downward pressure on the buck and providing a goodish lift to the GBP/USD pair.

That said, the US and Iran remained at odds over key issues, including blockades on the Strait of Hormuz and Tehran's nuclear program. Moreover, US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that he had told his representatives not to rush into any deal with Iran. This should keep the market enthusiasm in check, which, along with hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) bets, should limit USD losses.

In fact, traders are now fully pricing in a 25-basis-point (bps) interest rate hike from the US central bank in ​January 2027 on the back of sticky US inflation data and the recent hawkish remarks from influential FOMC members. In contrast, investors have pushed back their expectation for the likely timing of the next interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE), warranting caution for the GBP/USD bulls.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.35%-0.39%-0.22%-0.10%-0.59%-0.48%-0.37%
EUR0.35%-0.06%0.06%0.16%-0.26%-0.19%-0.04%
GBP0.39%0.06%0.19%0.28%-0.21%-0.07%0.00%
JPY0.22%-0.06%-0.19%0.11%-0.42%-0.29%-0.21%
CAD0.10%-0.16%-0.28%-0.11%-0.50%-0.38%-0.30%
AUD0.59%0.26%0.21%0.42%0.50%0.13%0.21%
NZD0.48%0.19%0.07%0.29%0.38%-0.13%0.07%
CHF0.37%0.04%-0.00%0.21%0.30%-0.21%-0.07%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains offered below 1.3600

GBP/USD resumes its decline, reversing Tuesday’s bullish attempt and breaking below 1.3600 the figure on Wednesday. Cable’s marked pullback follows a firm advance in the Greenback as investors continue to assess latest US data as well as the geopolitical landscape.

EUR/USD remains on the back foot around 1.1650

EUR/USD comes under renewed selling interest, slipping back to the mid-1.1600s ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Spot loses momentum on the back of solid gains in the US Dollar in a context of unabated geopolitical tensions and steady caution ahead of key US data releases and Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. Looking ahead, the ECB will publish its Accounts on Thursday.

Gold puts $4,600 to the test amid USD gains

Gold now faces some renewed downside pressure and seems to challenge the key $4,600 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. That said, the yellow metal’s correction comes after three daily upticks in a row, fading at the same time the recent move to fresh tops around $4,700. The stronger US Dollar and a decent rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve continue to weigh on bullion.

Bitcoin vs Gold Price Prediction: Rally cools as US PCE inflation holds steady
Bitcoin (BTC) is edging lower, trading slightly above $78,000 on Wednesday. This correction comes after last week’s rally and the subsequent rejection around $81,000. The decline reflects cooling sentiment amid overheated market conditions and increased profit-taking.
Nvidia: How will the company perform as its switches from a chip maker to an AI finance house?

The main event for markets this week takes place this evening, after US markets close. Nvidia, the AI giant, will report results for last quarter. Another monster report is expected. Revenues could come in above $92bn, and earnings per share could come in at $2.09.

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.