|

Breaking: Japan’s Tokyo CPI inflation climbs 2.8% in October

The headline Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October rose 2.8% YoY as compared to 2.7% in the previous month, the Statistics Bureau of Japan showed on Friday.

Additionally, Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food climbed 2.6% YoY in October against 2.6% expected and 2.7% in the prior month. The Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, Energy jumped 2.4% YoY in October, compared to the previous reading of 2.7% (revised from 3.0%). 

USD/JPY reaction to the Tokyo Consumer Price Index data

The Tokyo CPI inflation report has little to no impact to the Japanese Yen (JPY). As of writing, the USD/JPY pair is down 0.06% on the day at 157.72. 

Inflation FAQs

Inflation measures the rise in the price of a representative basket of goods and services. Headline inflation is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core inflation excludes more volatile elements such as food and fuel which can fluctuate because of geopolitical and seasonal factors. Core inflation is the figure economists focus on and is the level targeted by central banks, which are mandated to keep inflation at a manageable level, usually around 2%.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices of a basket of goods and services over a period of time. It is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core CPI is the figure targeted by central banks as it excludes volatile food and fuel inputs. When Core CPI rises above 2% it usually results in higher interest rates and vice versa when it falls below 2%. Since higher interest rates are positive for a currency, higher inflation usually results in a stronger currency. The opposite is true when inflation falls.

Although it may seem counter-intuitive, high inflation in a country pushes up the value of its currency and vice versa for lower inflation. This is because the central bank will normally raise interest rates to combat the higher inflation, which attract more global capital inflows from investors looking for a lucrative place to park their money.

Formerly, Gold was the asset investors turned to in times of high inflation because it preserved its value, and whilst investors will often still buy Gold for its safe-haven properties in times of extreme market turmoil, this is not the case most of the time. This is because when inflation is high, central banks will put up interest rates to combat it. Higher interest rates are negative for Gold because they increase the opportunity-cost of holding Gold vis-a-vis an interest-bearing asset or placing the money in a cash deposit account. On the flipside, lower inflation tends to be positive for Gold as it brings interest rates down, making the bright metal a more viable investment alternative.

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000 as RBA hike bets support amid softer USD

AUD/USD steadies above 0.7000 in Friday’s Asian session, stalling the overnight pullback from a one-month top as RBA rate-hike expectations act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Moreover, the US Dollar remains on the back foot amid hopes of Iran diplomacy, further supporting the currency pair. However, geopolitical risks and hawkish Fed expectations limit USD losses.

USD/JPY flatlines near 157.70 after hot Tokyo CPI as focus remains on BoJ

USD/JPY consolidates around 157.70 during the Asian session on Friday, moving little following the release of hot Tokyo CPI as focus remains on the highly anticipated BoJ rate decision. Meanwhile, upside remains capped as the US Dollar stays depressed amid the Euro's post-ECB rise. However, Thursday's US macro data reaffirmed Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical uncertainties, support the buck and the currency pair.

Gold falls to near $4,000 as US PCE data reinforces December Fed hike odds

Gold price falls to around $4,015 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal loses ground as US inflation data reinforced expectations ‌of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike later this year.

Bank of Japan to leave interest rates steady at 1.25%

The Bank of Japan is set to announce its monetary policy decision on Friday at around 02:30 GMT. Like the Federal Reserve, financial markets are confident that the BoJ will leave interest rates unchanged, after raising them by 25 basis points to 1.25% in the September policy meeting. This is the highest interest rate level seen in 31 years in Japan.

Ethereum dips as US PCE inflation reinforces December rate hike

Ethereum fell below $2,300, down 4.8% on Thursday following a rise in US Personal Consumption Expenditure inflation. The PCE Price Index climbed 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY in September, matching market forecasts. Core PCE, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, increased by 0.3% monthly and 3.1% yearly, also in line with expectations.

A hot US economy is supposed to sink Gold. It didn't. Here's why
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure near $4,000, as stronger-than-expected United States (US) economic data reinforce expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in December. Economic growth is accelerating, inflation remains elevated, and borrowing costs could rise further.