|

Australian Dollar: RBA keeps hike option open – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Elwin de Groot reports that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left rates unchanged, with markets initially reading the statement as dovish. Governor Bullock later pushed back, revealing the Board debated both holding and hiking and stating another increase is "quite possible". While the RBA hopes past tightening is enough, RaboResearch remains unconvinced and still expects one more rate hike later this year.

RBA signals further tightening risk

"The RBA left rates unchanged this week, and markets initially interpreted the accompanying statement as relatively dovish."

"Governor Bullock quickly pushed back against that view, revealing that policymakers debated both holding and hiking, and noting that another increase remains "quite possible"."

"The RBA clearly hopes previous tightening will prove sufficient."

"We remain unconvinced and continue to expect one more hike later this year."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD defends 0.7000 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD is defending 0.7000 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on an October Fed rate hike. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the pair ahead of Tuesday's RBA policy announcements.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold tumbles further; focus shifts to $4,100

Gold kicks in the week on the back foot, selling off to the vicinity of the $4,100 mark per troy ounce, levels last traded back in early August. The resurgence of geopolitical concerns in combination with the firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields keep the yellow metal under heavy pressure on Monday.

Bitcoin dips as ETF inflows meet Fed headwinds

Bitcoin trades below $82,800 at the time of writing on Monday after gaining over 4% last week, with the rally losing momentum near recent highs. Strong institutional demand, supported by spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund inflows, continues to drive demand.

The week ahead: A key moment for the global economy as threats rise

UK diesel hits a record, as economic concerns rise. The market expects an aggressive Fed rate hiking cycle, but is it necessary? Oil supply concerns ease, even as oil prices rise. What’s next for the AI trade.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.