|

Australian Dollar dips as firm US labor data, risk aversion support US Dollar

  • AUD/USD trades near 0.6900 after China's manufacturing data meets expectations.
  • A resilient US labor market and geopolitical tensions continue to support the US Dollar.
  • Investors now await the US ADP employment report and the ISM Manufacturing PMI ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls report.

AUD/USD trades lower on Wednesday, hovering around 0.6900 at the time of writing, down 0.31% on the day as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from renewed demand amid a cautious market environment.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains under pressure after China's RatingDog Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) came in at 51.7 in June, matching market expectations and easing slightly from 51.8 in May. The data follows the official PMIs released a day earlier, which showed manufacturing activity continuing to be weighed down by sluggish domestic demand, limiting support for the Australian currency.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar is supported by higher US Treasury yields and a broader risk-off mood. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed that job openings rose to 7.594M in May, the highest level in two years, while the latest Challenger Job Cuts report showed that job cuts dropped to 45,849 in June from 97,006 in the previous month, reinforcing the view that the US labor market remains resilient and supporting expectations for a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding talks between the United States (US) and Iran is also boosting demand for safe-haven assets. Difficulties in advancing negotiations continue to fuel concerns that tensions in the Middle East could persist, providing additional support for the Greenback.

In Australia, expectations for further interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) continue to fade. Markets now assign only a limited chance to additional tightening this year, although the minutes of the central bank's latest meeting indicated that monetary policy still needs to remain restrictive to contain inflationary pressures.

Market participants now turn their attention to the US ADP Employment Change report and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI, due later on Wednesday. These releases could shape expectations for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next policy steps ahead of Thursday's closely watched US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.

Australian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Euro.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.24%0.14%0.08%0.13%0.32%0.00%0.20%
EUR-0.24%-0.11%-0.17%-0.10%0.09%-0.25%-0.04%
GBP-0.14%0.11%-0.06%0.00%0.18%-0.14%0.08%
JPY-0.08%0.17%0.06%0.04%0.24%-0.11%0.11%
CAD-0.13%0.10%-0.00%-0.04%0.20%-0.16%0.07%
AUD-0.32%-0.09%-0.18%-0.24%-0.20%-0.35%-0.11%
NZD-0.01%0.25%0.14%0.11%0.16%0.35%0.23%
CHF-0.20%0.04%-0.08%-0.11%-0.07%0.11%-0.23%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.